NZH - Waterlea Raceway - Race 4

Harness

13 Runners

9.2f

Unknown

Turf

7.2K

VIEW

R10

R11

R12

Verdict

BRUNTWOOD BRIGADE (4) finished tenth last start, beaten 40 metres at Alexandra Park over 1m. Finds a suitable assignment and will be a major force. LONGVIEW TUI (5) finished 11th at Rangiora two runs ago before finishing 14th at her latest appearance over 1 ¼m at Rangiora, beaten 105 metres after sitting parked-out with 6 ¼f to run. Meets a comparable field and she can make amends. BREENY'S CONQUEROR (2) is better than his last-start run for 11th over 1 ¼m at Motukarara Raceway would suggest. Each-way chance. CARRERA KAHU (3) is worth some thought after her last-start sixth over 1m at Richmond Park on January 11.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Capable of better than we have seen lately. Last start 10th (Fr3) over 1m at Alexandra Park beaten 40 m by Tyson (1:56.60) in 3yo on December 19 at $38.40. The run prior 7th (Fr7) over 1m at Alexandra Park, beaten 85 m by Arden's Memory (2:39.00) in 3yo+ on December 5 at $32.70. Has ability and can do much better. 1st Pick 4 Bruntwood Brigade Jockey: John Dunn Trainer: Robert & Jenna Dunn J: John Dunn T: Robert & Jenna Dunn	77	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Capable of better than we have seen lately. Last start 10th (Fr3) over 1m at Alexandra Park beaten 40 m by Tyson (1:56.60) in 3yo on December 19 at $38.40. The run prior 7th (Fr7) over 1m at Alexandra Park, beaten 85 m by Arden's Memory (2:39.00) in 3yo+ on December 5 at $32.70. Has ability and can do much better.
5	Recent efforts haven't been up to her best. Last start 14th (Fr4) over 1 ¼m at Rangiora well beaten by Here Comes Marty (2:28.60) on January 1 at $3.90. The run previous 11th (Fr9) over 1 ³/16m at Rangiora beaten 45 m by Molly Maeve Estelle (2:27.90) in 3yo+ on December 14 at $22.30. One of the leading players on her best form. 2nd Pick 5 Longview Tui Jockey: Blair Orange Trainer: Ken Barron J: Blair Orange T: Ken Barron	74	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Recent efforts haven't been up to her best. Last start 14th (Fr4) over 1 ¼m at Rangiora well beaten by Here Comes Marty (2:28.60) on January 1 at $3.90. The run previous 11th (Fr9) over 1 ³/16m at Rangiora beaten 45 m by Molly Maeve Estelle (2:27.90) in 3yo+ on December 14 at $22.30. One of the leading players on her best form.
2	Last start 11th (Fr6) over 1 ¼m at Motukarara Raceway beaten 35 m by Sweet Willow (2:33.40) on December 29 at $12.40. Before that, 4th (Fr2) over 1 ³/16m at Rangiora beaten 22 m by Molly Maeve Estelle (2:27.90) in 3yo+ on December 14 at $6. Drawn well and expected to improve. 3rd Pick 2 Breeny's Conqueror Jockey: Gavin Smith Trainer: S J Adlam J: Gavin Smith T: S J Adlam	74	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Last start 11th (Fr6) over 1 ¼m at Motukarara Raceway beaten 35 m by Sweet Willow (2:33.40) on December 29 at $12.40. Before that, 4th (Fr2) over 1 ³/16m at Rangiora beaten 22 m by Molly Maeve Estelle (2:27.90) in 3yo+ on December 14 at $6. Drawn well and expected to improve.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.