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6:10 AM

NZH - Waterlea Raceway - Race 11

Harness
11 Runners
11.9f
Unknown
Turf
7.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

HENRY WINKLER (10) has been competitive of late and kept the ball rolling last time when 4.5 metres from the winner in third over 1 ?m at Cromwell. Good enough to take out a race like this. STORMY VISTA (3) finished third at Rangiora two runs ago before finishing second at his latest appearance over 1 ?m at Phar Lap Raceway, beaten 8 metres. Likely to get all the favours from this nice draw. Facing a tougher assignment but he is up to the task. CARLIN (11) is better than his last-start seventh over 1m at Richmond Park looks on paper. Worth another chance. SON OF DOC (8) is the next elect off a last-start win by a neck at Richmond Park over 1m.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
10
Henry Winkler silk

Two back was well beaten into fourth behind Munroe's Mate at Omakau over 1 ¼m in a 3yo+ on January 2 at $10.30. Then a handy effort when beaten by 4.5 m finishing third behind Transonic at Cromwell over 1m in a 3yo+ on January 6 at $21.30.

1st Pick
10

Henry Winkler

Jockey: Carter Dalgety

Trainer: Sam Smolenski

J: Carter Dalgety

T: Sam Smolenski

77---25%3/1

Analysis

Two back was well beaten into fourth behind Munroe's Mate at Omakau over 1 ¼m in a 3yo+ on January 2 at $10.30. Then a handy effort when beaten by 4.5 m finishing third behind Transonic at Cromwell over 1m in a 3yo+ on January 6 at $21.30.

3
Stormy Vista silk

Two back was well beaten into third behind Lonnekers at Rangiora over 1m on January 1 at $4.30. Then a handy effort when beaten by 8 m finishing second behind Lonnekers at Phar Lap Raceway over 1m in a 4yo+ on January 7 at $2.60. Going along well. Drawn to advantage and among the chances again.

2nd Pick
3

Stormy Vista

Jockey: Samantha Ottley

Trainer: Mark Jones

J: Samantha Ottley

T: Mark Jones

76---20%4/1

Analysis

Two back was well beaten into third behind Lonnekers at Rangiora over 1m on January 1 at $4.30. Then a handy effort when beaten by 8 m finishing second behind Lonnekers at Phar Lap Raceway over 1m in a 4yo+ on January 7 at $2.60. Going along well. Drawn to advantage and among the chances again.

11
Carlin silk

Last start was well beaten into seventh behind Son Of Doc at Richmond Park over 1m in a 3yo+ on January 11 at $3.60. Raced better the start before that with a solid effort when 2nd ( 4) over 1 ½m at Richmond Park beaten 4 m by The Coalman (3:02.70) on January 9 at $17.40. Big chance on his best form.

3rd Pick
11

Carlin

Jockey: Sheree Tomlinson

Trainer: Bruce Negus

J: Sheree Tomlinson

T: Bruce Negus

75---17%5/1

Analysis

Last start was well beaten into seventh behind Son Of Doc at Richmond Park over 1m in a 3yo+ on January 11 at $3.60. Raced better the start before that with a solid effort when 2nd ( 4) over 1 ½m at Richmond Park beaten 4 m by The Coalman (3:02.70) on January 9 at $17.40. Big chance on his best form.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.