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5:26 AM

AU - Hanging Rock - Race 6

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
8.9f
OPEN
Turf
GOOD 4
27.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

HIS FINEST HOUR (6) is a big threat building on his two narrow defeats at Flemington. Peaking now and the 1 ?m looks perfect for him now. Looks the one to beat. FEARGAL (8) can control the race from the handy barrier and has missed narrowly at Warrnambool his last two. He's sure to take pegging back. FRIDAY AT FIVE (9) has an awkward barrier but has been threatening a win and sits down in the weights. Watch for her taking strongest strides late. SING FOR PEACE (4) returns for the Paynes and should be forward enough following plenty of lead-up work. This is short of his best but it's a good starting point.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Real Alliance silk

At the latest run 5th of 9 at Flemington F&M Bm78 on January 10 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Tarvue with 121lbs at $26. Before that ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 10 at Cranbourne F&M Bm74 on December 27 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Miss Playlounge with 123lbs at $26. Well placed.

1st Pick
5

Real Alliance

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Luke Oliver

J: Non Runner

T: Luke Oliver

179---1%

Scratched

Analysis

At the latest run 5th of 9 at Flemington F&M Bm78 on January 10 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Tarvue with 121lbs at $26. Before that ran on strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 10 at Cranbourne F&M Bm74 on December 27 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Miss Playlounge with 123lbs at $26. Well placed.

6
His Finest Hour silk

Racing well recently. At the latest run made ground from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Flemington Bm70 on January 10 over 1m, 0.5 len behind Midnite Storm with 127lbs at $11. The start before that 2nd of 11 at Flemington Nmw on December 31 over 1m, 0.8 len behind Somewhere with 123lbs at $8.50. Big chance.

2nd Pick
6

His Finest Hour

Jockey: Cian Macredmond

Trainer: Neil Dyer

J: Cian Macredmond

T: Neil Dyer

129---40%6/4

Analysis

Racing well recently. At the latest run made ground from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Flemington Bm70 on January 10 over 1m, 0.5 len behind Midnite Storm with 127lbs at $11. The start before that 2nd of 11 at Flemington Nmw on December 31 over 1m, 0.8 len behind Somewhere with 123lbs at $8.50. Big chance.

8
Feargal silk

Form hard to fault. At the latest run set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 10 at Warrnambool Koroit Cup on January 11 over 1 ¹/16m, 1.5 len behind Brung King with 119lbs at $8.50. The start before that 2nd of 13 at Warrnambool Bm62 on December 31 over 1 ¹/16m, 1.5 len behind Brung King carrying 129lbs at $13. Not far away last start. Has claims.

3rd Pick
8

Feargal

Jockey: Melissa Julius

Trainer: Shane Jackson

J: Melissa Julius

T: Shane Jackson

92---23%7/2

Analysis

Form hard to fault. At the latest run set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 10 at Warrnambool Koroit Cup on January 11 over 1 ¹/16m, 1.5 len behind Brung King with 119lbs at $8.50. The start before that 2nd of 13 at Warrnambool Bm62 on December 31 over 1 ¹/16m, 1.5 len behind Brung King carrying 129lbs at $13. Not far away last start. Has claims.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.