AU - Camperdown - Race 3

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

21.4K

VIEW

Verdict

MOSQUITO AWARD (10) debuted off promising jumpouts beaten a whisker at Yarra Valley as favourite. Rode the speed and with the extra fitness this is a winnable assignment. BUTTERCUP (8) is a danger presenting off narrow defeats at Terang and Warrnambool the latest. Maps for the run of the race and the in-form Meech is a positive jockey engagement. RED FALCON (6) resumes for a metro yard and went well three back on debut. Didn't have the best of it on wet tracks following and he's been fitted with two jumpouts. Keep safe. KIJIVU (4) has the ability and will be better for his first-up run at Warrnambool when he was slow away. Look for him to be hitting the line. POPTHEBUBBLY (12) resumes and won a recent Terang jumpout. Both starts have been on the turf and a market watch is advised.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	Was well-supported at debut, held ground to the line 2nd of 7 at Yarra Valley Mdn-Sw on December 29 over 6f, neck behind Military Base with 127lbs at $3.30. Well-placed to get off the mark. 1st Pick 10 Mosquito Award Jockey: Ryan Hurdle Trainer: Lindsey Smith J: Ryan Hurdle T: Lindsey Smith	162	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Was well-supported at debut, held ground to the line 2nd of 7 at Yarra Valley Mdn-Sw on December 29 over 6f, neck behind Military Base with 127lbs at $3.30. Well-placed to get off the mark.
8	Recent form sound. At the latest run raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 9 at Warrnambool Mdn-Sw on December 31 over 5 ½f, 0.7 len behind Bonfire Jimmy carrying 127lbs at $6. The run before that ran on from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Terang Mdn-Sw on December 16 over 5f, long-neck behind I'm Helro carrying 127lbs at $4.80. Will take plenty of beating. 2nd Pick 8 Buttercup Jockey: Linda Meech Trainer: Tom Dabernig J: Linda Meech T: Tom Dabernig	175	-	-	-	50%	1/1
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 9 at Warrnambool Mdn-Sw on December 31 over 5 ½f, 0.7 len behind Bonfire Jimmy carrying 127lbs at $6. The run before that ran on from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Terang Mdn-Sw on December 16 over 5f, long-neck behind I'm Helro carrying 127lbs at $4.80. Will take plenty of beating.
6	Resuming. Finished off last preparation sixth of 10 at Bairnsdale Mdn-Sw August 12 over 5f, soft track, 8 len behind Normandy Lass carrying 126lbs at $6.50. On debut third of 8 at Swan Hill 2yo Mdn-Sw June 7 over 4f, 2 len behind Wicked Storm with 128lbs at $6. Capable of a bold return. 3rd Pick 6 Red Falcon Jockey: Cian Macredmond Trainer: Nick Ryan J: Cian Macredmond T: Nick Ryan	97	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Resuming. Finished off last preparation sixth of 10 at Bairnsdale Mdn-Sw August 12 over 5f, soft track, 8 len behind Normandy Lass carrying 126lbs at $6.50. On debut third of 8 at Swan Hill 2yo Mdn-Sw June 7 over 4f, 2 len behind Wicked Storm with 128lbs at $6. Capable of a bold return.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.