NZ - Cromwell - Race 9

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

10.4K

VIEW

Verdict

THE RED RHINO (3) has put in a couple of really brave efforts recently in better fields at Riccarton, and he will notice the drop in field quality here. He is still only a lightly tried 8-year-old gelding, and he goes on top for us here. PATSY SPIRIT (5) was set to start in the South Island a few weeks ago but was scratched. He is unbeaten on this course in a couple of starts, and if he doesn't need the run, then he can give this a real shake. Maybe wait for the second day on Sunday. WINEXPRESS (2) was beaten by a wide gate in a tougher field at Riccarton nearly 3 weeks ago after winning at Ashburton by a short-head before that. Stick with him for all top four combos. MANALI (8) resumes from a brief spell and has been tuned up with a quiet run at a recent Ashburton trial. Check the markets for any positive moves. DAPHNE DIOR (13) has not had all the favours in her last couple of starts. She steps up to 7f for the first time this prep, and can figure in the top four at odds.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Most recently led to the turn then faded 7th of 16 at Riccarton Park on November 15 over 7f, on rain affected going, 5.5 len behind Airpark Hustler carrying 129lbs at $30.40. The start before that 6th of 13 at Riccarton Park on November 8 over 6f, 4 len behind Platinum Pantheon carrying 129lbs at $9.60. Capable of sharp improvement. 1st Pick 3 The Red Rhino Jockey: Tina Comignaghi Trainer: John & Karen Parsons J: Tina Comignaghi T: John & Karen Parsons	143	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Most recently led to the turn then faded 7th of 16 at Riccarton Park on November 15 over 7f, on rain affected going, 5.5 len behind Airpark Hustler carrying 129lbs at $30.40. The start before that 6th of 13 at Riccarton Park on November 8 over 6f, 4 len behind Platinum Pantheon carrying 129lbs at $9.60. Capable of sharp improvement.
5	Resuming after a spell of nine weeks. Finished off last preparation second of 9 at Cambridge Synthetic September 24 over 6 ½f, a head behind Fun Never Sets with 119lbs at $15.10. When resuming last campaign second last in a small field at Cambridge Synthetic August 20 over 4f, 2.5 len behind Seamsew carrying 119lbs at $22.50. Expected to run well. 2nd Pick 5 Patsy Spirit Jockey: Terry Moseley Trainer: Eamonn Green J: Terry Moseley T: Eamonn Green	65	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Resuming after a spell of nine weeks. Finished off last preparation second of 9 at Cambridge Synthetic September 24 over 6 ½f, a head behind Fun Never Sets with 119lbs at $15.10. When resuming last campaign second last in a small field at Cambridge Synthetic August 20 over 4f, 2.5 len behind Seamsew carrying 119lbs at $22.50. Expected to run well.
2	Most recently 10th of 13 at Riccarton Park on November 8 over 6f, 5 len behind Platinum Pantheon with 130lbs at $14. The race before that won by a head at Ashburton October 19 over 6f defeating Abit Sassy carrying 126lbs at $26. Can improve on the latest effort and gets his chance. 3rd Pick 2 Winexpress Jockey: Corey Campbell Trainer: John Blackadder J: Corey Campbell T: John Blackadder	118	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Most recently 10th of 13 at Riccarton Park on November 8 over 6f, 5 len behind Platinum Pantheon with 130lbs at $14. The race before that won by a head at Ashburton October 19 over 6f defeating Abit Sassy carrying 126lbs at $26. Can improve on the latest effort and gets his chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.