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3:37 AM

AU2 - Goulburn - Race 3

Harness
10 Runners
8.5f
Unknown
Synthetic
4.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

FLIGHT LOUTENANT (1) was let down by manners when a hot favourite on debut but showed his ability when he led from a couple of spots wider than this and stuck on for second last week at Menangle, beaten less than 3m. Still learning but has the speed to take advantage of the inside draw so looks hard to catch. KEAYANG MEMORY (4) raced wide in the latter stages when fifth last start at Parkes. Good effort to come from the back row and win at Terang the outing prior so can make amends. LUNAR WITCH (5) led for a win three back at Bathurst and again gave a sight when second at Canberra last time. Can feature again. REFUSAL (9) drew wide when resuming with a midfield finish here last time. Fitter and can progress.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Flight Loutenant silk

Improved last start with a good run when 2nd (Fr3) over 1m after showing early pace at Menangle, at the bell was leading 6.68 beaten 3 m by Kiss Me Mini (1:53.20) in 3yo+ WAlso eligible 3yo+ NR45 on December 1 at $5.50. Great chance to break the maiden status.

1st Pick
1

Flight Loutenant

Jockey: Rickie Alchin

Trainer: Rickie Alchin

J: Rickie Alchin

T: Rickie Alchin

77---56%4/5

Analysis

Improved last start with a good run when 2nd (Fr3) over 1m after showing early pace at Menangle, at the bell was leading 6.68 beaten 3 m by Kiss Me Mini (1:53.20) in 3yo+ WAlso eligible 3yo+ NR45 on December 1 at $5.50. Great chance to break the maiden status.

4
Keayang Memory silk

Last start was well beaten into fifth behind Sergeant Stringer at Parkes over 1 m in a 3yo No NR on November 28 at $3.50. Performed better the start before where she ran on from midfield and won by 4 m (Sr2) at Terang (2:02.10) beating Nothing Sweeter in NR up to 49 on October 20 at $5.50. Nicely placed to take this out.

2nd Pick
4

Keayang Memory

Jockey: Jett Turnbull

Trainer: Nathan Turnbull

J: Jett Turnbull

T: Nathan Turnbull

73---17%5/1

Analysis

Last start was well beaten into fifth behind Sergeant Stringer at Parkes over 1 m in a 3yo No NR on November 28 at $3.50. Performed better the start before where she ran on from midfield and won by 4 m (Sr2) at Terang (2:02.10) beating Nothing Sweeter in NR up to 49 on October 20 at $5.50. Nicely placed to take this out.

5
Lunar Witch silk

Improved last start with a game effort when 2nd (Fr1) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early speed at Canberra, beaten 12 m by Mister Wells (2:11.00) in 2 WINs on November 30 at $11. Strong winning hope.

3rd Pick
5

Lunar Witch

Jockey: Harrison Ross

Trainer: J W Powderly

J: Harrison Ross

T: J W Powderly

72---14%13/2

Analysis

Improved last start with a game effort when 2nd (Fr1) over 1 ¹/16m after showing early speed at Canberra, beaten 12 m by Mister Wells (2:11.00) in 2 WINs on November 30 at $11. Strong winning hope.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.