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8:52 AM

AU1 - Maitland - Race 5

Harness
11 Runners
12f
Unknown
Synthetic
8.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LOYALIST (11) came from a wide barrier when runner-up at Menangle two back and hasn't been far away from the placegetters in two outings in decent company since. Tricky draw but is good enough to overcome that and win. CRAFTMANS CHARLIE (10) scored at Menangle when resuming two starts ago before struggling in much stronger class last time out. This assignment suits much better. PET KITTY (3) disappointed last time but had strong form prior including a win at Menangle two back and she draws well. ITZMINEONTHELINE (7) is a player after placing in three of his last four outings in the city.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
11
Loyalist silk

Last start 4th (Fr1) over 1 7/16m after showing early speed at Menangle was 7th-13.34 at the bell, beaten 11 m by Ubetcha Tigerpie (2:42.00) in No NR on November 22 at $19. Before that, was well back in the run when 5th (Fr8) over 1 7/16m at Menangle beaten 20 m by Helluva (2:43.40) in NR up to 90 on November 15 at $9. Capable of bouncing back.

1st Pick
11

Loyalist

Jockey: Ashleigh Delosa

Trainer: Joe Conolly

J: Ashleigh Delosa

T: Joe Conolly

77---27%11/4

Analysis

Last start 4th (Fr1) over 1 7/16m after showing early speed at Menangle was 7th-13.34 at the bell, beaten 11 m by Ubetcha Tigerpie (2:42.00) in No NR on November 22 at $19. Before that, was well back in the run when 5th (Fr8) over 1 7/16m at Menangle beaten 20 m by Helluva (2:43.40) in NR up to 90 on November 15 at $9. Capable of bouncing back.

10
Craftmans Charlie silk

Failed to impress last start, 9th (Fr2) over 1m at Menangle beaten 30 m by Don Hugo (1:48.80) in No NR on December 20 at $71. Showed ability the run before when he won by a head after showing early speed, (Fr5) at Menangle (1:50.70) beating Caulonia Courage in NR up to 90 on December 6 at $13 at the bell was 3rd-7.85. Rates highly. Can make amends.

2nd Pick
10

Craftmans Charlie

Jockey: Joshua Gallagher

Trainer: G A Harding

J: Joshua Gallagher

T: G A Harding

75---20%4/1

Analysis

Failed to impress last start, 9th (Fr2) over 1m at Menangle beaten 30 m by Don Hugo (1:48.80) in No NR on December 20 at $71. Showed ability the run before when he won by a head after showing early speed, (Fr5) at Menangle (1:50.70) beating Caulonia Courage in NR up to 90 on December 6 at $13 at the bell was 3rd-7.85. Rates highly. Can make amends.

3
Pet Kitty silk

Failed to impress last start, broke in score up and was out of position at the start 7th (Fr7) over 1m at Menangle, at the bell was 7th-19.55 beaten 18 m by Ideal In Dreams (1:52.80) in NR up to 95 M on November 29 at $3. Showed ability the outing before when she won by a head after showing early speed, (Fr5) at Menangle (1:54.40) beating Harmony in NR up to 70 on November 17 at $4.80 at the bell was leading 1.41. Well drawn and expected to bounce back.

3rd Pick
3

Pet Kitty

Jockey: Joe Taaffe

Trainer: Melanie Elder

J: Joe Taaffe

T: Melanie Elder

74---15%6/1

Analysis

Failed to impress last start, broke in score up and was out of position at the start 7th (Fr7) over 1m at Menangle, at the bell was 7th-19.55 beaten 18 m by Ideal In Dreams (1:52.80) in NR up to 95 M on November 29 at $3. Showed ability the outing before when she won by a head after showing early speed, (Fr5) at Menangle (1:54.40) beating Harmony in NR up to 70 on November 17 at $4.80 at the bell was leading 1.41. Well drawn and expected to bounce back.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).