NZ - Ascot - Race 9

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

23.1K

VIEW

Verdict

OAKSDEEL (9) was an overdue maiden winner in her penultimate start, and then was beaten by a short-head at Riccarton a month ago in a handy field. She doesn't know how to run a bad race, and is the one to beat here. STOUT (1) had to work a touch from a wide gate, and battled on gamely for second as the favourite here last time out. He will be at his peak fitness fourth up from a spell, and can go one better. SO BRASSY (13) made a winning South Island debut here over 6f and steps straight up from 6f to a mile. She is a lot stronger this season and should continue to work her way through the grades. CRUNCHIE BOY (2) was only half a length from the winner when having his first run for a new trainer at Cromwell nearly 2 weeks ago. The extra furlong is the key, and his next win is not far away. GENERATION JOY (8) was beaten by a wide gate fresh up, and has been a late scratching since then. If ready, he can't be taken lightly. Watch the market moves.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Form hard to fault. Comes off a 31 day let-up. At the latest run 2nd of 18 at Riccarton Park on November 12 over 1m, slow going head behind Eight Pence with 120lbs at $5.40. The run before that won by 0.8 len at Ashburton October 31 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating Naval Command with 120lbs at $1.40. Should prove tough to beat. 1st Pick 9 Oaksdeel Jockey: Amber Riddell Trainer: Samantha Wynne J: Amber Riddell T: Samantha Wynne	111	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Form hard to fault. Comes off a 31 day let-up. At the latest run 2nd of 18 at Riccarton Park on November 12 over 1m, slow going head behind Eight Pence with 120lbs at $5.40. The run before that won by 0.8 len at Ashburton October 31 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating Naval Command with 120lbs at $1.40. Should prove tough to beat.
1	Most recently sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 12 at this track on November 23 over 1m, slow going 1.5 len behind Gentle Ben carrying 130lbs at $3.10. The run before that 6th of 16 at Wingatui on November 4 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Afire carrying 130lbs at $5.50. Hard to go past. 2nd Pick 1 Stout Jockey: Tina Comignaghi Trainer: Steven Prince J: Tina Comignaghi T: Steven Prince	116	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Most recently sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 12 at this track on November 23 over 1m, slow going 1.5 len behind Gentle Ben carrying 130lbs at $3.10. The run before that 6th of 16 at Wingatui on November 4 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Afire carrying 130lbs at $5.50. Hard to go past.
13	Second run back. First-up after nine months won by 2.25 len at this track November 23 over 6f in soft going defeating Dracarys carrying 122lbs at $8.20. Previously second-up 6th of 10 at Ellerslie on November 30 2024 over 6 ½f, slow going 1.3 len behind Fun Never Sets carrying 125lbs at $21.10. Only needs to hold that form to be winning again. Still has scope for improvement and should be right in the mix. 3rd Pick 13 So Brassy Jockey: Kylie Williams Trainer: Anna Hewitson J: Kylie Williams T: Anna Hewitson	81	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after nine months won by 2.25 len at this track November 23 over 6f in soft going defeating Dracarys carrying 122lbs at $8.20. Previously second-up 6th of 10 at Ellerslie on November 30 2024 over 6 ½f, slow going 1.3 len behind Fun Never Sets carrying 125lbs at $21.10. Only needs to hold that form to be winning again. Still has scope for improvement and should be right in the mix.

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