AU - Mount Barker - Race 8

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

6.5f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

67.0K

VIEW

Verdict

IMMORTAL BLISS (5) was very impressive late at Ascot over 5f, finishing 0.9L off the winner as the race favourite. He steps right out to 6 ½f which is a query, but his prior form and sectionals say it won't be an issue. Pike remains in the saddle and a forward showing is expected. TIMELESS GEM (7) missed by a length last start when jumping an odds-on pop at Ascot last time out. On the quick turnaround here, but did win on the 7-day back up at Ascot two starts back. Parnham was on board there and hops back aboard now. Can bounce back to winning ways. COLD SHIZZLE (3) hasn't been far away in recent efforts, finishing just behind Timeless Gem last week. Maps beautifully off the inside draw once again and can be in the finish again. WINEACLOCKSUMWHERE (12) wasn't beaten far in the Fitzpatrick last start and has to be included on the back of that effort. CHARINO (4) is racing in top order and won't be far away.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Second-up. First-up after three months 3rd of 9 at Ascot Rtg 71+ on January 1 over 5f, 0.9 len behind Haida Gwaii with 128lbs at $2.35. Previously second-up favourite, won by 0.5 len at Belmont Park Grad Hcp 60+ August 16 over 5f on a soft track defeating Snow God carrying 127lbs at $1.90. Impressive run fresh and he can get back to winning ways now. 1st Pick 5 Immortal Bliss Jockey: William Pike Trainer: Grant & Alana Williams J: William Pike T: Grant & Alana Williams	182	-	-	-	39%	13/8
Analysis Second-up. First-up after three months 3rd of 9 at Ascot Rtg 71+ on January 1 over 5f, 0.9 len behind Haida Gwaii with 128lbs at $2.35. Previously second-up favourite, won by 0.5 len at Belmont Park Grad Hcp 60+ August 16 over 5f on a soft track defeating Snow God carrying 127lbs at $1.90. Impressive run fresh and he can get back to winning ways now.
7	Recent form sound. Last start raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 10 at Ascot Rtg 72+ on January 10 over 7f, 1.0 len behind Silver Eye carrying 125lbs at $1.95. The start before that favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.6 len at Ascot Rtg 72+ December 13 over 6f defeating Thermosphere Lad with 120lbs at $3.70. Beaten at odds-on last start but that rating still stacks up. 2nd Pick 7 Timeless Gem Jockey: Brad Parnham Trainer: Stephen Miller J: Brad Parnham T: Stephen Miller	138	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 10 at Ascot Rtg 72+ on January 10 over 7f, 1.0 len behind Silver Eye carrying 125lbs at $1.95. The start before that favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.6 len at Ascot Rtg 72+ December 13 over 6f defeating Thermosphere Lad with 120lbs at $3.70. Beaten at odds-on last start but that rating still stacks up.
3	Recent form sound. At the latest run 4th of 10 at Ascot Rtg 72+ on January 10 over 7f, 1.5 len behind Silver Eye with 121lbs at $15. The start before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 11 at Ascot W/Speed Sprint on December 20 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Our Paladin Al carrying 121lbs at $21. Knocking on the door and has to be included with an inside draw. 3rd Pick 3 Cold Shizzle Jockey: Holly Nottle Trainer: Darren Mcauliffe J: Holly Nottle T: Darren Mcauliffe	163	-	-	-	6%	16/1
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run 4th of 10 at Ascot Rtg 72+ on January 10 over 7f, 1.5 len behind Silver Eye with 121lbs at $15. The start before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 11 at Ascot W/Speed Sprint on December 20 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Our Paladin Al carrying 121lbs at $21. Knocking on the door and has to be included with an inside draw.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.