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6:04 AM

AU - Mount Barker - Race 3

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
9.2f
Class 2
Turf
GOOD 4
16.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LORDGIVEMESTRENGTH (9) dropped back to the mile last start and stuck on gamely, beaten 0.9L at Albany. Her two runs prior were solid over a similar trip to this and she has enough tactical speed to offset the tricky gate. Looks the one to beat stepping back up in trip. AH KUM (3) is better than he showed last start where he faded in the straight at Pinjarra. He now gets Pike and should be fitter again for that performance. Maps to get every possible and he can return to winning ways. POLYVANOVA (1) can take up the running as she has done in recent efforts, getting run down at Albany last time out. The 9lbs claim comes in handy and she should be able to dictate the tempo. Will be tough to run down. PARC IT IN HERE (8) comes through a couple of handy form races at Albany and is not to be discounted. ANNA'S BOY (5) should appreciate stepping up in trip again here and won't be far away.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Lordgivemestrength silk

Recent form sound. At the latest run came from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Albany Cl2 on January 4 over 1m, 0.9 len behind Sir Bear A Lot carrying 122lbs at $5. Before that 4th of 9 at Albany Rtg 58+ on December 26 over 1 ³/16m, 5 len behind Deadly And Fast with 115lbs at $6.50. Can go one better this time.

1st Pick
9

Lordgivemestrength

Jockey: Troy Turner

Trainer: Steve Wolfe

J: Troy Turner

T: Steve Wolfe

144---20%4/1

Analysis

Recent form sound. At the latest run came from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Albany Cl2 on January 4 over 1m, 0.9 len behind Sir Bear A Lot carrying 122lbs at $5. Before that 4th of 9 at Albany Rtg 58+ on December 26 over 1 ³/16m, 5 len behind Deadly And Fast with 115lbs at $6.50. Can go one better this time.

3
Ah Kum silk

Last start raced on the speed throughout before fading 7th of 10 at Pinjarra Rtg 54+ on December 31 over 1 ¼m, 10 len behind Pony Up with 125lbs at $6. The race before that raced on the pace when 3rd of 11 at Ascot Cl1 on December 17 over 1m, 0.9 len behind Bird On A Wire with 129lbs at $18. Expecting him to bounce back to form.

2nd Pick
3

Ah Kum

Jockey: William Pike

Trainer: Sharon Miller

J: William Pike

T: Sharon Miller

148---31%9/4

Analysis

Last start raced on the speed throughout before fading 7th of 10 at Pinjarra Rtg 54+ on December 31 over 1 ¼m, 10 len behind Pony Up with 125lbs at $6. The race before that raced on the pace when 3rd of 11 at Ascot Cl1 on December 17 over 1m, 0.9 len behind Bird On A Wire with 129lbs at $18. Expecting him to bounce back to form.

1
Polyvanova silk

Recent form sound. Last start led but faded 3rd of 12 at Albany Cl2 on January 4 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Sir Bear A Lot carrying 123lbs at $4. The run before that held ground to the line 2nd of 10 at Albany Cl2 on December 26 over 7 ½f, nose behind Fight In Flight with 121lbs at $9. The extra trip is a query, but she's right in this on recent form.

3rd Pick
1

Polyvanova

Jockey: Giaan O'donnell

Trainer: Paul Hunter

J: Giaan O'donnell

T: Paul Hunter

114---19%9/2

Analysis

Recent form sound. Last start led but faded 3rd of 12 at Albany Cl2 on January 4 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Sir Bear A Lot carrying 123lbs at $4. The run before that held ground to the line 2nd of 10 at Albany Cl2 on December 26 over 7 ½f, nose behind Fight In Flight with 121lbs at $9. The extra trip is a query, but she's right in this on recent form.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.