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5:29 AM

AU - Mount Barker - Race 2

Thoroughbred
17 Runners
6.5f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
13.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

TIDWELL (6) comes through a good race at Pinjarra where the form has already stacked up, and it may have already today as well in Race 1. Out in trip looks a good move for him now with the way he closed off there. Needs some luck from the draw but he looks to have struck a very winnable race. COSMIC WALTZ (5) got a long way back at Albany last start but closed off well to be 3.7L off the winner first-up. The inside draw and rise in trip are both ticks. Looks to have plenty of upside and can make his presence felt. BRAVE DRAGON (4) was a little slow to begin off a short break at Albany last time out but did close off well. Fitter for that run and Faithfull hops in the saddle, striking at 14% when teaming up with the Wolfe barn. Looks an improver. STARCHASER (9) is third-up now and rises in trip. Can see her improving sharply. MY TEA (2) flew home last start and has to be included on the back of that effort.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Tidwell silk

At debut, 4th of 8 at Pinjarra 3yo 0Mwly on January 3 over 6f, 4 len behind Vatican Storm with 130lbs at $21. Easier here and he can shed the maiden tag.

1st Pick
6

Tidwell

Jockey: Troy Turner

Trainer: Steve Wolfe

J: Troy Turner

T: Steve Wolfe

171---27%11/4

Analysis

At debut, 4th of 8 at Pinjarra 3yo 0Mwly on January 3 over 6f, 4 len behind Vatican Storm with 130lbs at $21. Easier here and he can shed the maiden tag.

5
Cosmic Waltz silk

Second-up. First start 6th of 12 at Belmont Park 2yo 0Mw on July 30 over 6f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Country God carrying 123lbs at $31. Went for a break before returning 4th of 11 at Albany Mdn on January 4 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Nailed'em carrying 125lbs at $11. Flew home first-up and the rise in trip looks ideal.

2nd Pick
5

Cosmic Waltz

Jockey: Brandon Louis

Trainer: Steve Wolfe

J: Brandon Louis

T: Steve Wolfe

99---10%10/1

Analysis

Second-up. First start 6th of 12 at Belmont Park 2yo 0Mw on July 30 over 6f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Country God carrying 123lbs at $31. Went for a break before returning 4th of 11 at Albany Mdn on January 4 over 5 ½f, 3.5 len behind Nailed'em carrying 125lbs at $11. Flew home first-up and the rise in trip looks ideal.

4
Brave Dragon silk

Second-up. First-up after three months settled back and ran on when 5th of 10 at Albany Mdn on December 26 over 6 ¼f, 3.5 len behind Chiminy Blue carrying 125lbs at $3.60. Previously second-up 3rd of 7 at Belmont Park 3yo 0Mwly on September 17 over 7f, in the wet, 0.9 len behind Hasani with 123lbs at $9.50. Good run fresh and he can build on that performance.

3rd Pick
4

Brave Dragon

Jockey: Natasha Faithfull

Trainer: Steve Wolfe

J: Natasha Faithfull

T: Steve Wolfe

192---13%7/1

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after three months settled back and ran on when 5th of 10 at Albany Mdn on December 26 over 6 ¼f, 3.5 len behind Chiminy Blue carrying 125lbs at $3.60. Previously second-up 3rd of 7 at Belmont Park 3yo 0Mwly on September 17 over 7f, in the wet, 0.9 len behind Hasani with 123lbs at $9.50. Good run fresh and he can build on that performance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.