AU - Kembla Grange - Race 9

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

103.6K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

LORD OF BISCAY (6) drops in class after losing a plate in the run and striking trouble in the straight when seventh over 1m in the LR Big Dance at Randwick. Stable apprentice goes on and expect to see him a little closer in the run. Ready to win. OUR GOLD HOPE (3) raced out of her grade at the last three starts. Sat on the speed from the wide draw when a fading sixth in the G3 Rosehill Gold Cup over 1 ¼m at Randwick. Will relish the mile from the low draw and shapes as the main danger. WELL TIMED (5) tenacious gelding who was collared late in a fast run contest to run second in the LR Ladies Day over 7 ½f at Hawkesbury. Gets map favours to see the mile out. ASGARDA (12) holding her own in stronger company and at her top for this. Will roll forward with the claim and not to be overlooked. LAVISH EMPIRE (7) back in class and worth more than a passing glance.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Most recently 7th of 20 at Randwick in the LR Big Dance on November 4 over 1m, slow going 3 len behind Gringotts with 117lbs at $12. The run before that 3rd of 16 at Randwick Bm88 on October 18 over 7f, 1.2 len behind Kerguelen with 132lbs at $4.60. Huge run last start and going better than most of these. 1st Pick 6 Lord Of Biscay Jockey: Benjamin Osmond Trainer: Kris Lees J: Benjamin Osmond T: Kris Lees	87	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Most recently 7th of 20 at Randwick in the LR Big Dance on November 4 over 1m, slow going 3 len behind Gringotts with 117lbs at $12. The run before that 3rd of 16 at Randwick Bm88 on October 18 over 7f, 1.2 len behind Kerguelen with 132lbs at $4.60. Huge run last start and going better than most of these.
3	At the latest run did the work up front then tired 6th of 15 at Randwick in the G3 Rosehill Cup on November 1 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Wootton Verni carrying 117lbs at $11. Before that 10th of 14 at Rosehill in the G2 Hill Stks on October 11 over 1 ³/16m, 5 len behind Lindermann with 126lbs at $81. Back in grade and finally drawn a decent barrier, goes close. 2nd Pick 3 Our Gold Hope Jockey: Tommy Berry Trainer: Robert & Luke Price J: Tommy Berry T: Robert & Luke Price	98	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis At the latest run did the work up front then tired 6th of 15 at Randwick in the G3 Rosehill Cup on November 1 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Wootton Verni carrying 117lbs at $11. Before that 10th of 14 at Rosehill in the G2 Hill Stks on October 11 over 1 ³/16m, 5 len behind Lindermann with 126lbs at $81. Back in grade and finally drawn a decent barrier, goes close.
5	Most recently made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 14 at Hawkesbury in the LR Ladies Day on November 8 over 7 ½f, head behind Harlem Queen with 119lbs at $5. The run before that got back early 5th of 7 at Randwick 5yo+ Bm88 on November 4 over 7 ½f, slow going 2.5 len behind Magnatear carrying 130lbs at $2.25. Holding his form and drawn to see the mile out. 3rd Pick 5 Well Timed Jockey: Nash Rawiller Trainer: Kerry Parker J: Nash Rawiller T: Kerry Parker	130	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Most recently made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 14 at Hawkesbury in the LR Ladies Day on November 8 over 7 ½f, head behind Harlem Queen with 119lbs at $5. The run before that got back early 5th of 7 at Randwick 5yo+ Bm88 on November 4 over 7 ½f, slow going 2.5 len behind Magnatear carrying 130lbs at $2.25. Holding his form and drawn to see the mile out.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.