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3 Min Till Start

AU - Gundagai - Race 8

Thoroughbred
18 Runners
5.9f
Class 1
Turf
GOOD 4
18.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

OUR LITTLE STAR (3) is usually thereabouts but finds it hard to win, with only one victory from 19 starts. Has been thereabouts in her first two runs under Nick Olive and should be hitting her straps now. Can't break through this time. PENROSE (10) was quickly into stride and went on to score by 2.5 lengths last time out over 5f at Queanbeyan. Looks well placed so expect another big run. BURNT TO A CRISP (6) won on debut last time out three-and-a-half weeks ago over 5f at Wagga, getting home by 0.6 lengths. Everything points to a big run. DENIAL (1) returns and is a noted fresh performer. Readied with a trial and can play a major role.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Yes Maxi silk

Form hard to fault. Last start favourite, won by 2.75 len at Albury Mdn-Sw December 13 over 7f defeating Etched In Blue with 127lbs at $1.26. The race before that 2nd of 11 at Albury Mdn-Sw on December 6 over 5f, 1.4 len behind Forte Cheval carrying 127lbs at $2.40. Hard to go past based on recent performances.

1st Pick
5

Yes Maxi

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Ben Brisbourne

J: Non Runner

T: Ben Brisbourne

132---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Last start favourite, won by 2.75 len at Albury Mdn-Sw December 13 over 7f defeating Etched In Blue with 127lbs at $1.26. The race before that 2nd of 11 at Albury Mdn-Sw on December 6 over 5f, 1.4 len behind Forte Cheval carrying 127lbs at $2.40. Hard to go past based on recent performances.

3
Our Little Star silk

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up sat on the pace when 2nd of 7 at Canberra Cl2-Sw on November 23 over 5f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Runranirun with 121lbs at $2.70. Second run from a spell sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 10 at Canberra Cl1 on December 12 over 5f, slow going 2 len behind Margin Call carrying 129lbs at $7. Best form measures up and she looks a huge chance.

2nd Pick
3

Our Little Star

Jockey: Coriah Keatings

Trainer: Nick Olive

J: Coriah Keatings

T: Nick Olive

135---8%12/1

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up sat on the pace when 2nd of 7 at Canberra Cl2-Sw on November 23 over 5f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Runranirun with 121lbs at $2.70. Second run from a spell sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 10 at Canberra Cl1 on December 12 over 5f, slow going 2 len behind Margin Call carrying 129lbs at $7. Best form measures up and she looks a huge chance.

10
Penrose silk

Last start won by 2.5 len at Queanbeyan Ctry Mdn-Sw December 18 over 5f defeating Deeply carrying 128lbs at $3.90. The run before that sat behind the speed prior to fading to run last of 7 at Canberra Mdn on November 4 over 5f, slow going 12 len behind Extrio with 121lbs at $6. Key runner who is expected to be in the finish.

3rd Pick
10

Penrose

Jockey: Molly Bourke

Trainer: Allan Mcrae

J: Molly Bourke

T: Allan Mcrae

88---13%7/1

Analysis

Last start won by 2.5 len at Queanbeyan Ctry Mdn-Sw December 18 over 5f defeating Deeply carrying 128lbs at $3.90. The run before that sat behind the speed prior to fading to run last of 7 at Canberra Mdn on November 4 over 5f, slow going 12 len behind Extrio with 121lbs at $6. Key runner who is expected to be in the finish.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.