Warriors vs. Kings Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for NBA Playoffs Game 3 (Can Golden State Avoid an 0-3 Hole?)
By Larry Rupp
The 2022-23 NBA Playoffs continue on Thursday with Game 3 of the first round series between the Sacramento Kings and Golden State Warriors.
Warriors vs. Kings Game Info
- Date: Thursday, April 20, 2023
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Chase Center -- San Francisco, California
- Coverage: TNT, NBCS-BA, and NBCS-CA
Each of the first two games of this series came down to the wire in Sacramento. The Kings emerged victorious by a score of 126-123 in Game 1 thanks to De'Aaron Fox's 38 points and came out on top by a score of 114-106 in Game 2 behind Domantas Sabonis' big night (24 points and 9 rebounds).
Warriors vs. Kings Odds & Spread
- All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: GSW: (-300) | SAC: (+245)
- Spread: GSW: -7 (-112) | SAC: +7 (-108)
- Total: 238.5 -- Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)
The Warriors enter this contest as clear home favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 10 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 238.5 points, with each side available at -110 odds.
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Warriors vs. Kings Betting Trends
- The Warriors covered 41 times in 82 matchups with a spread last season.
- The Kings went 9-10 as underdogs of 7.5 points or greater last year.
- Last season, 34 Warriors games went over the point total.
- Out of 82 Kings games last year, 43 hit the over.
Warriors vs. Kings Prediction & Pick
No one should be surprised at what Sacramento is doing right now. The Kings have been proving doubters wrong all season and remain a legitimate contender in the West. The superstar duo of Fox and Sabonis is capable of keeping up with any squad, including the defending NBA Champions.
Game 3 is intriguing because the Kings were the best road team in the Western Conference during the regular season (25-26). However, the Warriors were the second-best home team with a 33-8 record. Golden State also owns an average scoring margin of +8.0 at the Chase Center (No. 4 in NBA).
This is the first time in the Stephen Curry era that the Warriors find themselves in an 0-2 hole during a playoff series. Expect Golden State to come out motivated and get back to being sharpshooters. After all, it ranks first in both three-pointers made (17.1) and three-point percentage (39.1%) at home.
Final Score Prediction: Warriors: 124 | Kings: 117
Warriors vs. Kings Best Bet
The Warriors have an edge in this game given it is being played in San Francisco, but there's a lot to like about the chance of another close-fought battle going down. Each of the first two games were decided by a single-digit margin as were three of the four meetings in the 2022-23 regular season.
The Kings are one of six NBA teams to own a positive average scoring margin on the road (+2.0) and have lost by more than 10 points in just one of their last 12 away games. On the other side, the Warriors have only won by more than 10 points in only nine of their last 26 home games.
Bet: Win Margin - Golden State Warriors 1-10 (+175)
Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.