Warriors vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for December 25 (Memphis' Defense Shines in Christmas Day Win)

Larry Rupp
Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA regular season game.
Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA regular season game. / AP Photos/Brandon Dill
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Warriors vs. Grizzlies Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, December 25, 2022
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Chase Center -- San Francisco, California
  • Coverage: ABC and ESPN

The 2022-23 NBA season continues on Sunday with five more games, including a battle between the Memphis Grizzlies and Golden State Warriors. The Grizzlies rank second in the Western Conference with a 20-11 record, while the Warriors check in 11th with an 15-18 record. This one will be a battle.

Memphis enters as a victor in eight of its last 10 games after taking down the Phoenix Suns, 125-100, on Friday. Meanwhile, the Warriors lost to the Brooklyn Nets, 143-113, on Wednesday for its fifth loss in its last six games. Will the Grizzlies keep cruising or will Golden State bounce back on Sunday?

Warriors vs. Grizzlies Odds & Spread

Grizzlies vs Warriors Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Grizzlies -5 - - 229 -110 -110 -210 176
  • All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
  • Moneyline: GSW: (+160) | MEM: (-190)
  • Spread: GSW: +5 (-110) | MEM: -5 (-110)
  • Total: 229 -- Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

The Grizzlies enter this contest as notable road favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 8 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 229 points, which is above average compared to Sunday's projected totals.

Warriors vs. Grizzlies Betting Trends

  • The Grizzlies have covered the spread 15 times over 30 games with a set spread.
  • So far this season, the Warriors have been installed as underdogs by a 5-point margin or more six times and are 3-3 ATS in those matchups.
  • This season, 14 of the Grizzlies' games have gone over the point total out of 32 chances.
  • Warriors games this year have hit the over on 19 of 32 set point totals (59.4%).
  • Memphis has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered 11 times in 14 opportunities at home, and it has covered four times in 16 opportunities in away games.
  • Golden State's winning percentage against the spread at home is .714 (10-4-0). Away, it is .222 (4-14-0).

Warriors vs. Grizzlies Prediction & Pick

Steph Curry is reportedly not close to making his return to the court yet after suffering a left shoulder subluxation. It leaves the Warriors without their top scorer and main ball-handler. While the roster is still stacked with talented pros, Golden State draws a nightmare matchup against the young Grizzlies.

Memphis is racking up one victory after another thanks to its ability to dominate around the rim. The Grizzlies log more points in the paint per game (58.3) than any other team in the NBA. That's not good for the Warriors considering they allow the 10th-most points in the paint per home game (50.0).

The Grizzlies have won 12 of their last 14 games in December and I trust them to earn a road win.

Final Score Prediction: Warriors: 108 | Grizzlies: 117

Warriors vs. Grizzlies Best Bet

The star power of All-Star Ja Morant has left no one talking about how stellar Memphis' defense has looked in 2022. The Grizzlies rank third in defensive efficiency, first in opponent shooting percentage (44.6%) and eighth in opponent points per game (110.9). They shut down any offense put in their way.

Great defense tends to lead to less total points put on the scoreboard. The total has hit the under in six of Memphis' last eight games overall as well as in four of its last five away games. Under 229 points have also been scored in each of the last 10 head-to-head matchups between these rivals.

Bet: Under 229 Points (-110)

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Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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