UCLA vs Stanford Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for February 16 (Slow Pace Leads to Low-Scoring Pac-12 Matchup)

Larry Rupp
UCLA vs Stanford prediction, odds and betting insights for NCAA college basketball regular season game.
UCLA vs Stanford prediction, odds and betting insights for NCAA college basketball regular season game. / AP Photos/Amanda Loman

UCLA vs Stanford Game Info

  • 2022-23 NCAA Basketball Regular Season Game
  • No. 4 UCLA (21-4, 12-2 Pac-12) vs. Stanford (11-14, 5-9 Pac-12)
  • Date: Thursday, February 16, 2023
  • Time: 11:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Pauley Pavilion -- Los Angeles, California
  • Coverage: ESPN+

The 2022-23 college basketball season continues on Thursday with an exciting matchup between the Stanford Cardinal and No. 4 UCLA Bruins. Stanford enters having won six of its last eight games after taking down Arizona by a score of 88-79 on Saturday. Michael O'Connell racked up 22 points.

Meanwhile, UCLA has a four-game winning streak going that includes a 70-63 win over Oregon on Saturday. Jaime Jaquez Jr. balled out with 25 points (8-of-20 shooting) and 12 rebounds, while the Bruins forced 16 turnovers on defense. Which Pac-12 squad will emerge victorious on Thursday?

UCLA vs Stanford Odds & Spread

UCLA enters this contest as a clear home favorite on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 11 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 130.5 points, which is about average compared to Thursday's projected totals.

UCLA vs Stanford Betting Trends

  • UCLA has beaten the spread 15 times in 25 games.
  • The Bruins' ATS record as 13.5-point favorites or more is 6-3.
  • There have been 11 UCLA's games (out of 25) that hit the over this season.
  • Stanford is 12-13-0 against the spread this year.
  • Out of Stanford's 25 games so far this year, 13 have gone over the total.
UCLA Rank UCLA AVG Stanford AVG Stanford Rank
129th 74.0 Points Scored 69.2 242nd
8th 59.8 Points Allowed 66.9 98th
156th 32.3 Rebounds 32.4 148th
39th 10.4 Off. Rebounds 9.7 86th
294th 6.3 3pt Made 7.7 147th
82nd 14.6 Assists 14.0 116th
20th 10.0 Turnovers 12.2 195th

UCLA vs Stanford Prediction & Pick

Stanford played its best game of the season on Saturday as it shot 61.1% from the floor and 55.6% from three-point range. It's important to note that the effort was quite an outlier, though. The Cardinal rank 168th in the country in shooting percentage (44.4%) and 217th in points per game (69.2).

Another outstanding performance will be needed if head coach Jerod Haase's team wants to keep up with a UCLA offense that averages 77.8 points per home game. The Bruins have posted a perfect 13-0 record at Pauley Pavilion this season to go along with a great average scoring margin of +21.2.

UCLA has won 14 of its last 20 games against Stanford, so back the Bruins with confidence tonight.

Final Score Prediction: UCLA: 69 | Stanford: 59

UCLA vs Stanford Best Bet

A number of the top-ranked college basketball teams rely on a fast-paced offense to outscore their opponents, but not UCLA. The Bruins average only 68.9 possessions per game (No. 243 in NCAA) and now it faces a Stanford team that averages just 67.3 possessions per game (No. 310 in NCAA).

Less possessions means less opportunities to score, which makes the under worth backing. The total has hit the under in 11 of UCLA's last 14 games overall as well as in four of its last six games on a Thursday. The Bruins could easily take their foot off the gas if this one turns into a blowout win, too.

Bet: Under 130.5 Points (-105)

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Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.