Troy vs San Diego State Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for Dec. 5 (Aztecs Defense Fends Off Trojans at Viejas Arena)

Devon Platana
Troy vs San Diego State prediction, odds and betting insights for NCAA college basketball regular season game.
Troy vs San Diego State prediction, odds and betting insights for NCAA college basketball regular season game. / AP Photos/Rick Bowmer
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Troy vs San Diego State Game Info

2022-23 NCAA College Basketball Regular Season Game
Troy Trojans (6-3, 2-2 Away) vs. No. 24 San Diego State Aztecs (6-2, 4-0 Home)
Date: Monday, Dec. 5, 2022
Time: 10 p.m. ET
Venue: Viejas Arena — San Diego, CA
Coverage: fuboTV

The 2022-23 NCAA college basketball season continues on Monday, Dec. 5, including a west coast clash between the Troy Trojans and No. 24 San Diego State Aztecs.

Troy's had some unfortunate luck lately, losing its second straight road game in the form of a 78-72 loss to SIU Edwardsville on Saturday. Meanwhile, San Diego State has been experiencing the opposite luck, scoring its second of back-to-back wins with a 95-57 victory over Occidental on Friday.

Can Troy get back into the win column with an upset on the road? Or will San Diego State remain perfect at Viejas Arena with another strong effort?

Troy vs San Diego State Odds & Spread

All NCAA college basketball betting lines, odds and prop bets.
Moneyline: TROY: (+1000) | SDSU: (-2800)
Spread: TROY: +16.5 (-110) | SDSU: -16.5 (-110)
Total: 137.5 - Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

San Diego State enters this contest as the heavy favorite on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 10 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 137.5 points, which is the second-lowest of Monday's projected totals.

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Troy vs San Diego State Prediction & Pick

Though Troy has been solid this season, the Trojans are hard to trust on the road. Despite averaging 81.7 PPG this year, they've averaged just 66.5 points in their last two away losses. Furthermore, Troy has fared well against Mountain West teams as of late, losing four of its last five games against the conference.

Meanwhile, San Diego State is a perfect 4-0 at home, boasting an impressive plus-11.0 scoring margin at Viejas Arena. A big reason behind the Aztecs' overall success this fall has been their ability to force 16.3 turnovers per game (No. 38).

Needless to say, they're likely salivating at the thought of taking on the Trojans, who average 12.7 turnovers (T-No. 140) and just coughed up the ball 17 times against SIU Edwardsville.

Troy has already shown struggles against weaker competition and now has to face a top-25 program. San Diego State's solid defensive play at home will be the difference-maker here, leading to an Aztecs victory.

Final Score Prediction: San Diego State: 76 | Troy: 69

Troy vs San Diego State Betting Trends

- Troy is 1-4 straight up in its last five games against the MWC.
- San Diego State is 2-6-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last nine games.
- The total has hit the over in four of Troy's last five road games.
- The total has hit the over in each of San Diego State's last seven home games.

Troy vs San Diego State Best Bet

Although I see San Diego State winning tonight, covering a 16.5-point spread is a lot to ask for in this case. After all, the Aztecs are an underwhelming 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games and have yet to cover at home this season. On top of that, they're 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings with Sun Belt teams.

On the other hand, Troy might not be perfect, but it is 4-2 ATS in its last six games while covering the spread in three of four road matchups. In other words, give me the Trojans keeping things a bit closer than expected tonight.

Bet: Troy +16.5 (-110)


Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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