Troy vs Arkansas Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for Nov. 28 (Razorbacks Fail to Pull Away From the Trojans)

Larry Rupp
Troy vs Arkansas prediction, odds and betting insights for NCAA college basketball regular season game.
Troy vs Arkansas prediction, odds and betting insights for NCAA college basketball regular season game. / AP Photos/Michael Woods
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Troy vs Arkansas Game Info

2022-23 NCAA College Basketball Regular Season Game
Troy Trojans (6-1, 2-0 Away) vs. No. 9 Arkansas Razorbacks (5-1, 3-0 Home)
Date: Monday, Nov. 28, 2022
Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Bud Walton Arena — Fayetteville, AR
Coverage: SEC Network

The 2022-23 college basketball season continues on Monday with a thrilling matchup between the Troy Trojans and No. 9 Arkansas Razorbacks. Troy excelled against Southern-New Orleans on Tuesday, winning by a score of 118-61. Nelson Phillips and Duke Miles each racked up 22 points.

Meanwhile, Arkansas fielded a second-half comeback against San Diego State and prevailed in overtime by a score of 78-74 on Wednesday. Sophomore Trevon Brazile scored a team-high 20 points off the bench on 6-of-14 shooting. The Razorbacks also went 27-38 from the free throw line.

Troy vs Arkansas Odds & Spread

All NCAA college basketball betting lines, odds and prop bets.
Moneyline: TROY: (+1280) | ARK: (-3500)
Spread: TROY: +17.5 (-110) | ARK: -17.5 (-110)
Total: 140.5 —Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

Arkansas enters this contest as clear favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 8 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 140.5 points, which is about average compared to Monday's projected totals.

Troy vs Arkansas Prediction & Pick

Don't look at Troy as just another non-conference layup for Arkansas. Not only did Nelson Phillips drop 22 points on Tuesday, but he added 8 rebounds, 8 assists and 13 steals. He leads a Trojans offense that ranks third in the Sun Belt in scoring (86.0) and fourth in shooting percentage (47.8%).

This is still a Troy team that lost to the St. Thomas and has yet to play a ranked opponent, though. The Razorbacks are going to come out firing in their first home game since Nov. 16. They play with a great tenacity on defense, forcing 21.3 turnovers (T-No. 12 in NCAA) and allowing 54.0 points per home game.

Final Score Prediction: Troy: 60 | Arkansas: 74

Troy vs Arkansas Betting Trends

- Troy is 5-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last six away games.
- The total has hit the over in four of Troy's last five games.
- Arkansas is 9-0 straight up in its last nine games against a Sun Belt opponent.
- The total has hit the under in seven of Arkansas' last nine games.

Troy vs Arkansas Best Bet

As mentioned above, the Trojans have players capable of getting hot. Christyon Eugene is shooting 54.5% from the floor and Duke Miles is hitting three-pointers at a 47.1% mark. Being able to drain shots from beyond the arc is going to be crucial against an Arkansas team that knows how to score.

Keep in mind Troy is 5-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last away six games. Arkansas is also allowing 63.3 points per game on the season, which means it may be forced to score 80 or more points in order to cover the spread. The Razorbacks have reached the 80-point mark just twice in six games.

Bet: Troy Trojans +17.5 (-110)

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Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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