Toledo vs Tennessee Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for March 20 NCAA Women's Tournament Game (Rockets Keep it Close)

The 2023 NCAA Women's Tournament continues on Monday with a second-round matchup between the Toledo Rockets and Tennessee Lady Volunteers. Toledo is aiming to earn its first Sweet 16 spot in school history, while Tennessee is hoping to advance past the Round of 32 for the second straight year.

Toledo vs Tennessee Game Info

• 2022-23 NCAA Women's Tournament Game
• Toledo (29-4, 10-2 Away) vs. No. 23 Tennessee (24-11, 15-4 Home)
• Date: Monday, March 20, 2023
• Time: 6:00 p.m. ET
• Venue: Thompson-Boling Arena -- Knoxville, TN
• Coverage: ESPN2

Toledo is coming off an 80-73 upset of the Iowa State Cyclones as Quinesha Lockett balled out with 24 points to go along with 13 rebounds. Meanwhile, Tennessee picked apart Saint Louis in a 95-50 first-round win behind Jordan Horston's 21 points & 8 rebounds. Which team will advance with a win?

Toledo vs Tennessee Odds & Spread

• All women's college basketball betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: TOL: (+790) | TENN: (-1500)
• Spread: TOL: +14.5 (-115) | TENN: -14.5 (-105)
• Total: 141.5 -- Over: (-114) | Under: (-106)

Tennessee enters this contest as a massive favorite on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 6 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 141.5 points with the over favored at -114 odds.

Toledo vs Tennessee Prediction & Pick

Toledo has been flying under the radar. The Rockets are a respectable 7-2 straight up against Quad 1 & 2 opponents this year, earning wins over both Michigan and Iowa State. They have a chance to give the Volunteers a run for their money as Tennessee allows 66.3 points per game (No. 231 in NCAA).

The difference in this game will come from the home crowd, though. That points allowed per game mark drops to 62.5 inside Thompson-Boling Arena as the Volunteers step it up when it matters most. Watch out for the role players as Tennessee averages 28.0 bench points per game (No. 10 in NCAA).

Rickea Jackson is the best player in this matchup (19.5 points per game), so back the Volunteers.

Final Score Prediction: Toledo: 68 | Tennessee: 75

Toledo vs Tennessee Best Bet

The Volunteers have a great chance to advance with a win on Monday, but their chance of covering a 12.5-point spread is a different story. Prior to the Saint Louis game, Tennessee had won just four of its last 13 games by more than 12 points. Toledo has lost by more than 12 points just once all season.

The Rockets have more than enough momentum (17-game winning streak) to keep this game close.

Bet: Toledo Rockets +12.5 (-110)

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.