NBA Odds & Predictions

Timberwolves vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for Nov. 11 (Grizzlies Keep Momentum Going at Home)

Devon Platana
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Memphis Grizzlies prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA regular season game.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Memphis Grizzlies prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA regular season game. / AP Photo/Brandon Dill
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Timberwolves vs Grizzlies Game Info

2022-23 NBA Regular Season Game
Minnesota Timberwolves (5-7, 1-2 Away) vs. Memphis Grizzlies (8-4, 4-1 Home)
Date: Friday, Nov. 11, 2022
Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
Venue: FedExForum — Memphis, TN
Coverage: ESPN

The 2022-23 NBA season has eight games planned for Friday, Nov. 11, including a Western Conference clash between the Minnesota Timberwolves and Memphis Grizzlies. The Timberwolves desperately need a win tonight, having dropped five of their last six games, including a 129-117 loss to the Phoenix Suns on Wednesday.

On the other hand, the Grizzlies have been one of the hotter teams out west. They've won four of their last five games with their latest victory being a 124-122 overtime win over the San Antonio Spurs on Wednesday. The duo of Desmond Bane and Ja Morant paved the way for Memphis' win, combining for 64 points on 26-of-48 shooting from the floor.

Timberwolves vs Grizzlies Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: MIN: (+150) | MEM: (-178)
Spread: MIN: +4 (-106) | MEM: -4 (-114)
Total: 234.5 —Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

The Grizzlies enter this contest as clear home favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 9:30 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 234.5 points, which is the highest of Friday's projected totals.

Timberwolves vs Grizzlies Prediction & Pick

After a promising start to the year, things have fallen apart for the Timberwolves. They're averaging the 12th-fewest points over the last three games, which has a lot to do with their converting just 30.7% of three-point attempts during that span — fourth worst league-wide.

Poor shooting like that will make it difficult for the T-Wolves to handle the Grizzlies. Memphis is tied for averaging the sixth-most three-pointers made at home (14.6) while converting on 38.6% of attempts overall (No. 4). Bane leads his team with 4.0 threes made per game, while Morant (2.1) and Dillon Brooks (2.2) aren't too far behind him.

The good news for the aforementioned trio is that the Timberwolves are awful against perimeter shooting. Not only do they allow opponents to convert on 37.7% of attempts (seventh-worst), but they also surrender an NBA-high 15.1 three-pointers per game.

With the Grizzlies also winning seven of their last eight home games against the Timberwolves, this is anything but a favorable matchup for Minnesota. Give me Memphis winning this one without much issue.

Final Score Prediction: Grizzlies: 121 | Timberwolves: 110

Timberwolves vs Grizzlies Betting Trends

- Minnesota is 6-14 against the spread (ATS) in its last 20 games against Memphis.
- Memphis is 6-1 straight up in its last seven home games.
- The total has hit the under in each of Minnesota's last five road games.
- The total has hit the under in four of Minnesota's last five games against Memphis.

Timberwolves vs Grizzlies Best Bet

The Timberwolves have had issues keeping it close amid their rough patch. Each of their last five losses has been by a double-digit margin, along with the fact that they're also 1-5 against the spread (ATS) over that stretch. Though the Grizzlies haven't done too well in spread betting lately, they're 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games against Minnesota.

With the shape that the T-Wolves are in right now, going with the Grizzlies on the spread is the best option.

Bet: Grizzlies -4 (-114)

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Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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