Thiago Moises vs Melquizael Costa Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for UFC 283 (Brazilian Combatants Go the Distance)

Devon Platana
Thiago Moises vs Melquizael Costa betting preview for UFC 283, including predictions, odds and best bets. / AP PHOTO
Thiago Moises vs Melquizael Costa betting preview for UFC 283, including predictions, odds and best bets. / AP PHOTO /
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Moises vs Costa Fight Info, Date & Time

UFC 283 — Preliminary Card Lightweight Bout
Thiago Moises (16-6-0, 3 KOs) vs. Melquizael Costa (19-5-0, 7 KOs)
Date: Saturday, Jan. 21, 2023
Fight Time: This will be one of the fights on the preliminary card, which begins at 8 p.m. ET.
Venue: Jeunesse Arena — Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Coverage: ABC, ESPN, ESPN+

Moises vs Costa Odds & Prop Bets

All UFC 283 odds, lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline:
- Thiago Moises: (-460)
- Melquizael Costa: (+320)

Method of Victory:
- Moises by Points: (+180)
- Moises by KO/TKO: (+420)
- Moises by Submission: (+180)
- Costa by Points: (+900)
- Costa by KO/TKO: (+800)
- Costa by Submission: (+1500)

Moises vs Costa Prediction

In a battle between two Brazilians, Thiago Moises hopes to spoil Melquizael Costa's UFC debut. After back-to-back losses to Islam Makhachev and Joel Álvarez, Moises returned to the winner's circle with a submission victory over Christos Giagos at UFC Vegas 57. Only time will tell if the 27-year-old can win consecutive fights for the first time in nearly two years.

Meanwhile, Costa enters this fight fresh off a third-round TKO win against Jose Cleiton de Melo Jr. The 26-year-old has now won seven of his last eight fights, but this is clearly one of his bigger challenges to date.

At the end of the day, I need to see more from Costa against tougher competition before he can be trusted from a betting perspective. Moises has faced stronger opponents and has the wins to prove it, leading to my siding with him to pick up the victory.

Moises vs Costa Best Bet

When it comes to the best bet, I'm going with Moises winning on Saturday by decision. After all, there's a decent chance that this fight goes the distance. Ten of Moises' 22 career fights (45.5%) have gone the distance while three of Costa's last seven (42.8%) have also ended in some form of decision

With both fighters wanting to put on a show for their Brazilian fans, look for the matchup to go the distance with Moises emerging as the victor.

Bet: Moises by Points (+180)

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Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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