Texans vs Cowboys Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for Week 14 (Dallas Dominates Again)

FairwayJay
Houston Texans vs Dallas Cowboys prediction, odds and betting trends for NFL Week 14.
Houston Texans vs Dallas Cowboys prediction, odds and betting trends for NFL Week 14. / Ron Jenkins / Associated Press
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Texans vs Cowboys Week 14 Game Info

2022 NFL Regular Season Game
Houston Texans (1-10-1, 1-5 Away) vs. Dallas Cowboys (9-3, 6-1 Home)
Date: Sunday, Dec. 11, 2022
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Venue: AT&T Stadium — Arlington, TX
Coverage: FOX

Week 14 of the 2022 NFL season includes an intra-conference clash between in-state rivals as the Houston Texans tackle the Dallas Cowboys.

The league-worst Houston Texans struggles' continued last week with turnovers and defensive miscues in a 27-14 loss to the Cleveland Browns.

Meanwhile, the Cowboys rode four Indianapolis Colts turnovers in the fourth quarter to a 54-19 romp and continue to look like a serious Super Bowl contender.

Texans vs Cowboys Odds & Spread

All NFL betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: HOU: (+900) | DAL: (-1600)
Spread: HOU +17 (-110) | DAL: -17 (-110)
Total: 44.5 —Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

The Cowboys enter this contest as a huge home favorite on the spread (-17) and moneyline (-17). A major upset by the Texans returns 9/1 odds, or +900. This game also features an over/under of 44.5 points, and NFL games are averaging 44.0 points this season.  

Texans vs Cowboys Prediction & Pick

The Cowboys rank No. 1 in Football Outsiders' DVOA defensive rating and also No. 1 in more recent weighted games. The Cowboys pass defense is also No. 1, allowing just 180 passing yards per game and 5.6 yards per pass against. That drops to 5.1 yards per pass over their last three games against the Colts, Giants and Vikings while allowing just 89 rushing yards per game in those three contests.

The Texans' run defense is allowing a league-worst 169 rushing yards per game and ranks among the worst in DVOA defense. Houston made a change at quarterback to Kyle Allen, but the Texans rank dead last in DVOA offense in both run and pass while averaging a league-worst 3.7 yards per play over their last three games. Kyle Allen has started the last two games at quarterback and provided little spark going just 46-of-78 for 416 yards (5.3 yards per pass) with 2 TDs and 4 interceptions.

Even if the Cowboys take the Texans lightly, this should still be a one-sided contest. Dallas is 3-1 since Dak Prescott returned to the starting lineup (10 TD's) and the Cowboys have won those three games by a combined score of 122-42. Dallas keeps pushing towards the big rematch with the Eagles on Dec. 24 with little letup expected in a rout.

Final Score Prediction: Cowboys: 41 | Texans: 13

Texans vs Cowboys Betting Trends

- Houston is 0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games.
- Houston is 0-10 SU in their last 10 games vs NFC opponents.
- Dallas is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 contests.
- Dallas is 6-0 SU in their last 6 home games.
- The total has hit the Over in 4 of the Cowboys last 5 games.

Texans vs Cowboys Best Bet

Oddsmakers are going to struggle to attract money on the Texans over the last month of the season. Usually the lines will be inflated, but this may still not be high enough with the Cowboys rolling and flexing their muscles against a historically bad inferior foe.

Bet: Cowboys -17 and Over 44.5 Points

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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