NCAAF Betting

Tennessee vs Vanderbilt Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for Week 13 (Volunteers Make Adjustments With New Quarterback)

Larry Rupp
Tennessee vs Vanderbilt odds, prediction and betting trends for NCAA college football game.
Tennessee vs Vanderbilt odds, prediction and betting trends for NCAA college football game. / AP Photos/Wade Payne
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Tennessee vs Vanderbilt Week 13 Game Info

2022 NCAA College Football Game
No. 9 Tennessee Volunteers (9-2, 5-2 SEC) vs. Vanderbilt Commodores (5-6, 2-5 SEC)
Date: Saturday, Nov. 26, 2022
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
Venue: FirstBank Stadium — Nashville, TN
Coverage: SEC Network

Week 13 of the 2022 college football season includes an SEC battle between the No. 9 Tennessee Volunteers and Vanderbilt Commodores. Tennessee fell short against South Carolina on Saturday, losing by a score of 63-38. The Volunteers were gashed for 608 yards and gave up 8.0 yards per play.

Meanwhile, Vanderbilt took down Florida by a score of 31-24 in Week 12. Three of quarterback Mike Wright's 10 completions on the day went for touchdowns as three Commodores receivers scored. The momentum in that game completely changed on Wesley Schelling's fumble return touchdown.

Tennessee vs Vanderbilt Odds & Spread

All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: TENN: (-600) | VANDY: (+430)
Spread: TENN: -14.5 (-108) | VANDY: +14.5 (-112)
Total: 66.5 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

Tennessee enters this contest as a heavy road favorite on the moneyline and the spread. This SEC clash also features a total of 66.5 points, which is above average compared to this week's college football projected totals.

Tennessee vs Vanderbilt Prediction & Pick

Tennessee's loss last week came with massive impacts. Not only are the Volunteers' College Football Playoff chances hanging by a thread now, but their starting quarterback left the game hurt. Heisman hopeful Hendon Hooker suffered a season-ending knee injury on a scary-looking non-contact play.

Hooker will not be suiting up on Saturday, which means Joe Milton will draw the start at QB. The 22-year-old completed 4 of his 8 pass attempts for 108 yards and 1 touchdown last week. The good news is that Vanderbilt is allowing the most passing yards per game in the SEC this year (303.2).

With stars like Cedric Tillman and Jabari Small still on Tennessee's offense, I'm taking the Volunteers.

Final Score Prediction: Tennessee: 38 | Vanderbilt: 24

Tennessee vs Vanderbilt Betting Trends

- Tennessee is 8-3 against the spread (ATS) in its last 11 games.
- The total has hit the over in 13 of Tennessee's last 17 games.
- Vanderbilt is 6-14 straight up in its last 20 games against Tennessee.
- The total has hit the over in five of Vanderbilt's last seven games against Tennessee.

Tennessee vs Vanderbilt Best Bet

Tennessee's defense did not step up against the Gamecocks, but it's still a defense that has allowed more than 24 points in only five of its 11 games played. The Volunteers have the defensive line and linebacker depth to make life hard on a Vanderbilt offense that runs the ball on 54.8% of its plays.

That run defense combined with the absence of Hooker makes the under an intriguing option here. Touchdowns will be scored in this one, but not enough to hit the over. The total has hit the under in four of Vanderbilt's last five games overall as well as in nine of its last 12 games played in November.

Bet: Under 66.5 Points (-110)

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Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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