Tennessee vs Ole Miss Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for December 28 (Elite Defenses Square Off in SEC Battle)

Larry Rupp
Tennessee vs Ole Miss prediction, odds and betting insights for NCAA college basketball regular season game.
Tennessee vs Ole Miss prediction, odds and betting insights for NCAA college basketball regular season game. / AP Photos/Julia Nikhinson
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Tennessee vs Ole Miss Game Info

  • 2022-23 NCAA Basketball Regular Season Game
  • No. 7 Tennessee (10-2, 0-0 SEC) vs. Ole Miss (8-4, 0-0 SEC)
  • Date: Wednesday, December 28, 2022
  • Time: 5:00 PM ET
  • Venue: The Pavilion at Ole Miss -- Oxford, Mississippi

The 2022-23 college basketball season continues on Wednesday with an exciting matchup between the No. 7 Tennessee Volunteers and Ole Miss Rebels. Tennessee took down Austin Peay, 86-44, last Wednesday for its ninth win in its last 10 games. Olivier Nkamhoua led the offense with 20 points.

Meanwhile, Ole Miss was on the wrong end of a major upset when it fell short in a 66-65 loss to North Alabama in its most recent game (Dec. 20). The Rebels shot just 39.3% from the floor (24-of-61) and 29.4% from three-point range (5-of-17). Matthew Murrell tallied a team-high 16 points in the defeat.

Tennessee vs Ole Miss Odds & Spread

Tennessee enters this contest as clear road favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 5 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 130.5 points, which is below average compared to Wednesday's projected totals.

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Tennessee vs Ole Miss Betting Trends

  • Tennessee has covered the spread seven times in 12 games.
  • As 9.5-point favorites or more, the Volunteers are 5-2 against the spread.
  • Out of 12 Tennessee's games so far this year, four have gone over the total.
  • Against the spread, Ole Miss is 5-7-0 this season.
  • This year, six of Ole Miss' 12 games have hit the over.
Tennessee Rank Tennessee AVG Ole Miss AVG Ole Miss Rank
146th 74.7 Points Scored 70.0 231st
5th 52.8 Points Allowed 63.5 60th
12th 38.4 Rebounds 35.1 77th
2nd 13.3 Off. Rebounds 11.8 20th
103rd 8.3 3pt Made 5.8 313th
18th 17.4 Assists 13.2 207th
255th 13.3 Turnovers 12.8 207th

Tennessee vs Ole Miss Prediction & Pick

The Rebels are in need of a bounce-back win and defeating the No. 7 ranked team in the nation would serve that purpose. However, picking apart this Tennessee defense will not be easy. The Volunteers are allowing just 52.8 points per game (No. 3 in NCAA) on a 39.2% shooting mark (No. 2 in NCAA).

Tennessee enters Wednesday night ranked first in defensive efficiency as well. Being able to contest shots and pull down rebounds at a high rate limits second chance opportunities for the Volunteers; opponents. There's a reason the team's average scoring margin sits at +21.9 in 2022 (No. 3 in NCAA).

Ole Miss is also 1-6 straight up in its last seven games against Tennessee, so I'll back the Volunteers.

Final Score Prediction: Tennessee: 68 | Ole Miss: 58

Tennessee vs Ole Miss Best Bet

It's already been mentioned how stellar the Volunteers are on defense. It's also worth pointing out that Ole Miss ranks among the top-60 NCAA teams in defensive efficiency, opponent points per game (63.5) and opponent shooting percentage (40.5%). So neither offense draws a positive matchup in this one.

Buckets will be hard to come by, which makes backing the under the best way to go. The total has hit the under in five of Tennessee's last seven games as well as in four of Ole Miss' last six games. The under has cashed in each of the last five head-to-head matchups between these SEC foes, too.

Bet: Under 130.5 Points (-110)

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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