TCU vs SMU Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for Dec. 10 (Horned Frogs Leap Over Troubled Mustangs)

Devon Platana
TCU vs SMU prediction, odds and betting insights for NCAA college basketball regular season game.
TCU vs SMU prediction, odds and betting insights for NCAA college basketball regular season game. / AP Photo/LM Otero
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TCU vs SMU Game Info

2022-23 NCAA College Basketball Regular Season Game
No. 24 TCU Horned Frogs (7-1) vs. SMU Mustangs (3-6)
Date: Saturday, Dec. 10, 2022
Time: 10 p.m. ET
Venue: Dickies Arena — Fort Worth, TX
Coverage: ESPN2

The 2022-23 NCAA college basketball season continues on Saturday, Dec. 10 with a Big 12-AAC showdown between the No. 24 TCU Horned Frogs and SMU Mustangs.

TCU is fresh off its fifth straight winning, blowing Jackson State out, 78-51, on Tuesday. Unfortunately, wins have been tough to come by for SMU fans. The Mustangs enter this one after a 75-57 loss to Arizona State on Wednesday, marking their third loss in a row.

Can TCU extend its winning streak at Dickies Arena? Or will SMU pull off the major upset to help turn their campaign around?

TCU vs SMU Odds & Spread

All NCAA college basketball betting lines, odds and prop bets.
Moneyline: TCU: (-750) | SMU: (+520)
Spread: TCU: -11.5 (-110) | SMU: +11.5 (-110)
Total: 136.5 - Over: (-115) | Under: (-105)

TCU enters this contest as the heavy favorite on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 10 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 136.5 points, which is among the lowest of Saturday's projected totals.

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TCU vs SMU Prediction & Pick

SMU has looked awful during its losing skid, losing each of the last three games by an average of 12.7 points. The Mustangs have only averaged 63.0 PPG over that stretch on 37.6% shooting with 13.3 turnovers as well, making it difficult to see them pulling off an upset against a ranked school.

At the same time, TCU has been blowing out teams left and right, picking up each of their last five wins by double-digit margins. If that isn't impressive enough, the Horned Frogs ranked No. 32 in the nation with a plus-13.8 scoring margin, which is much more solid than SMU's minus-2.8 mark.

Needless to say, I don't think TCU is in jeopardy of losing here.

Final Score Prediction: TCU: 75 | SMU: 61

TCU vs SMU Betting Trends

- TCU is 16-4 against the spread (ATS) in its last 20 games against SMU.
- SMU is 1-4 straight up in its last five games.
- The total has hit the under in 10 of TCU's last 15 games.
- The total has hit the under in nine of SMU's last 12 games.

TCU vs SMU Best Bet

SMU has been absolutely dreadful against the spread this fall, going 1-7-1 ATS in its first nine games. Though TCU is only 4-4 ATS on the year, the Horned Frogs have covered the spread in 16 of their last 20 games against the Mustangs.

With how poorly SMU has played lately, winning this one by double digits shouldn't be too tough for TCU.

Bet: TCU -11.5 (-110)


Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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