Steven Peterson vs Lucas Alexander Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for UFC on ESPN 43 (Don't Expect Alexander to Last)

Steven Peterson vs. Lucas Alexander betting preview for UFC on ESPN 43, including predictions, odds and best bets.
Steven Peterson vs. Lucas Alexander betting preview for UFC on ESPN 43, including predictions, odds and best bets. / AP Photo/Gregory Payan

Peterson vs Alexander Fight Info, Date & Time

UFC on ESPN 43 — Preliminary Card Featherweight Bout
Steven Peterson (19-10, 5 KOs) vs. Lucas Alexander (7-3, 3 KOs)
Date: Saturday, March 25, 2023
Fight Time: This will be on the preliminary card, which begins at 4 p.m. ET.
Venue: AT&T Center — San Antonio, Texas
Coverage: ESPN+, ESPN

Peterson vs Alexander Odds & Prop Bets

All UFC on ESPN 43 odds, lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Steven Peterson: (-174)
- Lucas Alexander: (+136)

Method of Victory:
- Peterson by KO/TKO: (+650)
- Peterson by Points: (+210)
- Peterson by Submission: (+330)
- Alexander by KO/TKO: (+550)
- Alexander by Points: (+340)
- Alexander by Submission: (+950)

sign up now. No Sweat First Bet up to $1,000. dark

Peterson vs Alexander Prediction

While Steven Peterson is the favorite, he's looking for a bounce-back win this weekend. The UFC veteran is coming off a split-decision loss to Julian Erosa in a bout where Peterson missed weight by about four pounds. He won two straight fights before that defeat, though, leaving time to show how he responds.

On the flip side, Lucas Alexander experienced nothing but disappointment in his UFC debut. The 27-year-old Brazilian found himself submitting to Joanderson Brito just 2:02 into the first round of their brawl, resulting in MMA enthusiasts wondering if Alexander has what it takes to hang in the world's top promotion.

At the end of the day, I'm siding with Peterson winning this one. Alexander just didn't look good in his debut, getting taken down twice in less than one round. Unfortunately for him, Peterson averages 1.61 takedowns per 15 minutes and likely won't have issues getting Alexander back on the mat.

If Alexander can't defend himself, this could be another short one.

Winner: Steven Peterson

Peterson vs Alexander Best Bet

With the odds being where they are, I'm comfortable taking Peterson at -174 on the moneyline. If you're looking for better value, back Peterson by submission at +330 odds. Not only has he won eight fights by submission, but his upcoming opponent's three career losses each came from submitting.

Bet: Steven Peterson ML (-174) or Steven Peterson by Submission (+330)

Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.