Steelers vs Falcons Prediction, Odds & Best Bets for Week 13 (Pittsburgh Battles For Second Straight Road Win)

Larry Rupp
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Atlanta Falcons prediction, odds and best bets for NFL Week 13 game.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Atlanta Falcons prediction, odds and best bets for NFL Week 13 game. / AP Photos/Patrick Semansky
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Steelers vs Falcons Week 13 Game Info

2022 NFL Regular Season — Week 13
Pittsburgh Steelers (4-7, 2-4 Away) vs. Atlanta Falcons (5-7, 4-2 Home)
Date: Sunday, Dec. 4, 2022
Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium — Atlanta, GA
Coverage: CBS

The Atlanta Falcons will look to gain ground in the NFC South race when they host the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 13 NFL action. The Steelers enter off an exciting 24-17 win over the Indianapolis Colts on Monday. Running backs Najee Harris and Benny Snell each scored a rushing touchdown.

Meanwhile, the Falcons fell just short against the Washington Commanders in a 19-13 Week 12 loss. Quarterback Marcus Mariota threw an interception with seconds remaining on the game clock to seal the deal. Wide receiver Olamide Zaccheaus paced the offense with 91 receiving yards on 5 catches.

Steelers vs Falcons Odds & Spread

All NFL betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: PIT: (-118) | ATL: (+100)
Spread: PIT: -1 (-114) | ATL: +1 (-106)
Total: 42.5 — Over: (-118) | Under: (-104)

Updated (Sunday, Dec. 4, 11:50 a.m. EST): The odds flipped in this matchup. Pittsburh was originally the 1-point underdog, but is now a 1-point road favorite. That's also reflected in the moneyline while the over/under fell to 42.5 points.

Steelers vs Falcons Prediction & Pick

The Falcons' playoff hopes are dwindling at this point in the season and they desperately need a win. They run into a nightmare matchup, though. Atlanta has posted the second-highest rushing play percentage in the NFL (56.3%), but Pittsburgh has posted the eighth-best rush defense DVOA rating.

If the Falcons are forced to rely on the passing attack, they could be in trouble. Atlanta has posted a QB sacked percentage of 8.91%, which ranks 29th in the NFL. Going up against the likes of TJ Watt and Cameron Heyward is a scary thought for Mariota as well as the pass-blockers in front of him.

The Steelers are 12-1-1 in their last 14 games against the Falcons, so I like Pittsburgh here.

Final Score Prediction: Steelers: 23 | Falcons: 20

Steelers vs Falcons Betting Trends

- Pittsburgh is 12-1-1 straight up in its last 14 games against Atlanta.
- The total has hit the under in 12 of Pittsburgh's last 18 games in December.
- Atlanta is 1-5 against the spread (ATS) in its last six games.
- The total has hit the under in six of Atlanta's last nine games.

Steelers vs Falcons Best Bet

The Steelers have started to turn things around under the guidance of rookie quarterback Kenny Pickett. Over the last three games, the Steelers are averaging 24.7 points and have not logged a single giveaway. Playing clean football is what head coach Mike Tomlin preaches every single day.

Atlanta is 1-5 against the spread (ATS) in its last six games and a dismal 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games against an AFC North opponent. The Falcons are also 1-5 straight up in their last six home games against the Steelers. Trust the trends on Sunday and back Pittsburgh to win its fifth game of the year.

Bet: Pittsburgh Steelers ML (-108)

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Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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