Stars vs Golden Knights Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for NHL Playoffs Game 5 (Can VGK Advance to Stanley Cup Final?)

The 2022-23 NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs continue on Saturday, May 27 as the Dallas Stars and Vegas Golden Knights are set to play Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals.

Stars vs Golden Knights Game 5 Info

• Series: VGK leads 3-1
• Date: Saturday, May 27, 2023
• Time: 8 p.m. ET
• Venue: T-Mobile Arena -- Las Vegas, Nevada
• Coverage: ABC, ESPN+

The Stars managed to avoid being swept with a 3-2 overtime victory in Game 4. Jason Robertson tied the game at 2-2 with less than three minutes remaining in the third period before Joe Pavelski's ninth goal of the postseason won the game for Dallas in OT.

Stars vs Golden Knights Odds & Spread

• All NHL betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: DAL: (+118) | VGK: (-142)
• Spread: DAL: +1.5 (-220) | VGK: -1.5 (+180)
• Total: 5.5 -- Over: (-108) | Under: (-112)

The Golden Knights enter this contest as home favorites on the spread and moneyline per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 8 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 5.5 goals with the Under favored at -112 odds.

Stars vs Golden Knights Betting Trends

• Dallas is 2-4 straight up (SU) in its last six games.
• Vegas is 6-1 SU in its last seven home games.
• The total has hit the Over in four of Dallas' last five road games.
• The total has hit the Under in seven of Vegas' last eight games against Dallas.

Stars vs Golden Knights Prediction & Pick

The Stars' advantage in the special teams department paid off in Game 4 as they scored twice on the power play, including the game-winning goal. They're now 3-of-9 (33.3%) on the man advantage in this series, whereas the Golden Knights are 2-of-10 (20.0%) in that regard.

The Stars can't rely on the power play to continue winning, though. They have to pick up their play when it comes to 5-on-5, where the Golden Knights are outscoring them 11-5 thus far. Vegas has an incredibly deep roster and with Dallas captain Jamie Benn still suspended, it's clear that the Stars must be better at even strength if they want to survive.

Having said that, I see the Golden Knights closing out this series on Saturday. Dallas has momentum but has already lost twice at T-Mobile Arena, dropping to 1-4 SU in its last five road games. Meanwhile, Vegas is 6-1 SU in its previous seven home games and has won three in a row in Sin City.

It'll be another close game, but the Golden Knights' 5-on-5 superiority and home-ice advantage give them the edge.

Final Score Prediction: Golden Knights: 3 | Stars: 2

Stars vs Golden Knights Best Bet

With how low-scoring this series has been through four games, the Under on the 5.5-goal total is the best bet here. The Stars and Golden Knights are only averaging 5.3 goals per contest, finishing with fewer than 5.5 in each of the last three affairs. As a result, the Under is now 7-1 in the past eight Dallas-Vegas matchups.

After goaltenders Jake Oettinger and Adin Hill bad had strong performances on Thursday night, it's more likely that we're in for another low-scoring tilt this weekend.

Bet: Under 5.5 Total Goals (-112)

Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.