NCAAF Betting

SMU vs Tulane Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for Week 12 (SMU's Top Pass Attack Leads to Upset)

FairwayJay
SMU vs. Tulane prediction, odds and betting trends for NCAA college football game.
SMU vs. Tulane prediction, odds and betting trends for NCAA college football game. / Matthew Hinton / Associated Press
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SMU vs Tulane Week 12 Game Info

2022 NCAA College Football Game
SMU Mustangs (6-4, 4-2 AAC) vs. Tulane Green Wave (8-2, 5-1 AAC)
Date: Thursday, Nov. 17, 2022
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
Venue: Yulman Stadium — New Orleans, LA
Coverage: ESPN

Week 12 of the 2022 NCAA college football season includes an American Athletic Conference clash between the SMU Mustangs (4-2) and co-conference leader Tulane Green Wave (5-1).

Tulane lost their first conference game last week to UCF, 38-31. Those two teams along with Cincinnati are now tied on top of the conference. Meanwhile, SMU is on a 3-0 SU/ATS run having scored 45, 77 and 41 points in a trio of double-digit victories.

SMU vs Tulane Odds & Spread

All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: SMU: (+128| TUL: (-164)
Spread: SMU: +3 (-110) | TUL: -3 (-110)
Total: 64.5 — Over: (-115) | Under: (-105)

Tulane enters this contest as a small home favorite on the spread (-3) and moneyline (-164). The takeback on a SMU is +128. This key AAC contest also features a total of 64.5, which is more than a TD higher than average compared to this week's projected totals.

SMU vs Tulane Prediction & Pick

SMU is the highest-scoring team in the AAC averaging 40.3 points per game - 8 PPG more than Tulane. The Mustangs average a league-high 486 yards per game, but they were slowed by Cincinnati's No. 2 ranked AAC defense four games back in a 29-27 home defeat. The Green Wave are the league's best defense statistically allowing a league-low 19 PPG and 323 yards per game while SMU's defense is deficient allowing 32 PPG and 446 yards per game including nearly twice as many TD's allowed (41) as Tulane.

Tulane also has the AAC's No. 1 pass defense (175 yards per game) to slow SMU's No. 1 passing offense (326 yards per game). The Green Wave only have 14 sacks, and they have also allowed at least 28 points in three of their last four games including to Memphis and South Florida who both had more than 375 yards offense in Tulane's wins.

SMU will get their share, and the Mustangs also played TCU tough in a 42-34 loss with even yardage while gaining more first downs against the Big 12's top-ranked team.

Final Score Prediction: SMU: 35 | Tulane: 30

SMU vs Tulane Betting Trends

- SMU is 4-1 SU and ATS in their last 5 games.
- SMU is 7-0 SU in their last 7 games vs Tulane.
- The total has gone Under in 6 of SMU's last 7 road games.
- Tulane is 5-1 SU and ATS in their last 6 games.
- Tulane is 7-1 ATS in thier last 8 conference games.

SMU vs Tulane Best Bet

All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.

This is Tulane's last home game ahead of next week's showdown at Cincinnati. SMU's pass heavy and quick strike attack has led to just 26:40 possession time per game - lowest in the league. But they may run a bit more than projected in this contest after seeing Cincinnati's weaker rushing attack run 53 times for 343 yards last week to beat Tulane 38-31.

That type of performance and pounding on a defense can also wear a team down, and especially more fatigue later in the season. The Green Wave are 8-2 ATS this season, but Tulane has also lost to SMU 7 straight times. Tulane's players may have trouble bouncing back off that loss last week and SMU's proficient pass attack led by QB Tanner Mordecai's league-best 309 passing yards per game may be too much again

Bet: SMU +3 (-110) and Moneyline +128

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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