Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Saturday 7/23/22

Starting at 1:05 p.m. ET, Saturday July 23 brings us 11 races at Saratoga.

As always, check the program for scratches and changes, and monitor the weather and track conditions.

(I will reference Equibase's Speed Figure in selected races, which tells you how fast a horse has been running in each of its races -- adjusted for track, distances, and conditions).

Saratoga Betting

1. Royal Dancer and Sinfully Sweet, Race 7

FanDuel Racing Odds: 4/1 and 8/1
Bet Now at TVG | Bet Now at FanDuel

Race 7 is an Allowance race for state-bred fillies and mares sprinting 5 1/2 furlongs on the turf. A full field of at least 12 runners, and Royal Dancer (4/1) is a top pick of numberFire. Sinfully Sweet (8/1) and the favorite Tough Street (7/2) are expected to challenge and finish in-the-money.

Royal Dancer missed twice as a maiden, but improved her speed figure to 89 in a NY Stallion Series stakes race in June while carrying her front end speed into the stretch before tiring at 7 furlongs.

2. Rising Empire and Air Attack, Race 9

FanDuel Racing Odds: 10/1 and 6/1
Bet Now at TVG | Bet Now at FanDuel

Race 9 is an Allowance race at 1 1/8 miles. The numberFire data shows Air Attack (6/1) to edge the favorite Stage Raider (1/1) and Uncle Moonlight (9/2).

But Rising Empire (10/1) offers value and is one to include with two wins this spring as the favorite.

3. Miss J McKay and Caravel, Race 10

FanDuel Racing Odds: 6/1 and 5/2
Bet Now at TVG | Bet Now at FanDuel

Race 10 is the $200,000 Caress Stakes (G2) for older fillies and mares sprinting 5 1/2 furlongs on the turf. The numberFire projection shows Miss J. McKay (6/1) to hold off the favorite Caravel (5/2) with big longshot Fouette (30/1) to make it into the money.

Miss J McKay missed last race in a Grade 3 sprint won by the favorite Caravel up front. But Miss J won her prior race in May with a top 109 speed figure and has returned with a pair of bullet works since.