Sam Patterson vs Yanal Ashmoz Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for UFC 286 (Don't Expect a Quick Lightweight Fight)

Devon Platana
Sam Patterson vs Yanal Ashmoz betting preview for UFC 286, including predictions, odds and best bets.
Sam Patterson vs Yanal Ashmoz betting preview for UFC 286, including predictions, odds and best bets. / AP Photo/Gregory Payan

Patterson vs Ashmoz Fight Info, Date & Time

UFC 286 — Preliminary Card Lightweight Bout
Sam Patterson (10-1-1, 4 KOs) vs. Yanal Ashmoz (6-0, 3 KOs)
Date: Saturday, March 18, 2023
Fight Time: This will be on the preliminary card, which begins at 3 p.m. ET.
Venue: O2 Arena — London, England
Coverage: ESPN+, ESPN2

Patterson vs Ashmoz Odds & Prop Bets

All UFC 286 odds, lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Sam Patterson: (-300)
- Yanal Ashmoz: (+225)

Method of Victory:
- Patterson by KO/TKO: (+320)
- Patterson by Points: (+300)
- Patterson by Submission: (+200)
- Ashmoz by KO/TKO: (+650)
- Ashmoz by Points: (+600)
- Ashmoz by Submission: (+1000)

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Patterson vs Ashmoz Prediction

Sam Patterson returns to his home country of England to make his UFC PPV debut. The 26-year-old has looked dominant thus far, finishing 10 of his previous 12 opponents (four by KO/TKO, five by submission). He's also coming off an impressive submission win over Vinicius Sacchelli Cenci on the Contender Series 2022.

While Yanal Ashmoz is 6-0 to begin his MMA career, he hasn't fought anyone on Patterson's level yet. Ashmoz's five career finishes show that he should be able to hold his own for the most part, but "The Future" has the striking and submission skills to make him pay for any mistakes.

Look for the English crowd's support to give Patterson the energy he needs to shut Ashmoz down.

Winner: Sam Patterson

Patterson vs Ashmoz Best Bet

For the best Patterson vs. Ashmoz bet, I'm looking at the total going over 1.5 rounds. It's a small sample size, but none of Ashmoz's previous six fights have ended in Round 1. Furthermore, only one of Patterson's last seven outings has seen a first-round finish.

In what should be a hard-hitting fight, bet on this fight making it to at least the second round.

Bet: Over 1.5 Rounds (-146)

Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

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