Saints vs Buccaneers Prediction, Odds & Best Bets for Monday Night Football (Bucs Prevail Behind Defense)

Updated: Sep 10, 5:00pm UTC

Saints vs Buccaneers Week 13 Game Info

2022 NFL Regular Season — Week 13
New Orleans Saints (4-8, 1-4 Away) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-6-1, 3-3 Home)
Date: Monday, Dec. 5, 2022
Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
Venue: Raymond James Stadium — Tampa Bay, FL
Coverage: ESPN

Two struggling NFC South teams square off on Monday Night Football in Week 13. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers lead what has been a very weak division this year at 5-6, while the New Orleans Saints are tied with the Carolina Panthers for last place at 4-8.

Both teams are coming off tough road losses in Week 12. The Buccaneers fell to the Cleveland Browns in overtime, while the Saints were shut out by the San Francisco 49ers. Tampa Bay returns home looking to beat New Orleans for the second time this year after defeating the Saints, 20-10, in NOLA during Week 2.

Saints vs Buccaneers Odds & Spread

All NFL betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: NO: (+154) | TB: (-184)
Spread: NO: +3.5 (-110) | TB: -3.5 (-110)
Total: 40.5 — Over: (-105) | Under: (-115)

The Bucs enter this divisional clash as a small home favorite on the moneyline and the spread. This primetime matchup also features the second-lowest total on the Week 13 slate at 40.5 points.

Saints vs Buccaneers Prediction & Pick

It's pretty shocking that the Bucs have won only one more game than the Saints this year. After all, Tampa Bay has Tom Brady at quarterback, while New Orleans has had a combination of Jameis Winston and Andy Dalton.

Both teams have been hit hard by injuries this season, however, and are operating under new head coaches as well. Brady has finally started to look his age (45) for the Buccaneers, while the Saints' vaunted defense has not performed up to expectations.

New Orleans' offense has also hit a wall lately, scoring 13 points or less in three of its last four games. Those struggles could continue in Tampa Bay against a Buccaneers defense that's yielding the seventh-fewest points and ninth-fewest yards per game.

The Buc's offense hasn't been great either, but I think they do just enough to get the home win here.

Final Score Prediction: Buccaneers: 20 | Saints: 13

Saints vs Buccaneers Betting Trends

- New Orleans is 0-5 against the spread (ATS) on the road this year.
- Tampa Bay is 0-4-1 ATS at home this season.
- New Orleans is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games against Tampa Bay.
- The total has gone under in four of New Orleans' last five games against Tampa Bay.

Saints vs Buccaneers Best Bet

Despite their setback in Cleveland, the Buccaneers have been playing better football lately, winning two of their last three games. They're finally getting healthier on offense and look more like the team people expected them to be coming into the season.

The Saints, on the other hand, are having immense difficulty scoring the football, managing just 10 total points in their last two road games combined. I don't think they'll score enough against Tampa Bay's formidable defense to cover the spread, making Buccaneers -3.5 the call.