Saimon Oliveira vs Daniel Marcos Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for UFC 283 (Oliveira, Marcos Go the Distance)

Devon Platana
Saimon Oliveira vs Daniel Marcos betting preview for UFC 283, including predictions, odds and best bets.
Saimon Oliveira vs Daniel Marcos betting preview for UFC 283, including predictions, odds and best bets. / AP Photo/Gregory Payan
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Oliveira vs Marcos Fight Info, Date & Time

UFC 283 — Early Preliminary Card Bantamweight Bout
Saimon Oliveira (18-4-0, 5 KOs) vs. Daniel Marcos (13-0-0, 7 KOs)
Date: Saturday, Jan. 21, 2023
Fight Time: This fight will be on the early preliminary card, which begins at 5:30 p.m. ET.
Venue: Jeunesse Arena — Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Coverage: UFC Fight Pass

Oliveira vs Marcos Odds & Prop Bets

All UFC 283 odds, lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline:
- Saimon Oliveira: (-150)
- Daniel Marcos: (+122)

Method of Victory:
- Oliveira by Points: (+220)
- Oliveira by KO/TKO: (+600)
- Oliveira by Submission: (+1200)
- Marcos by Points: (+390)
- Marcos by KO/TKO: (+340)
- Marcos by Submission: (+1200)

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Oliveira vs Marcos Prediction

A victory here would mean a lot to either fighter in their early UFC careers. On one hand, Saimon Oliveira hopes to bounce back following a unanimous decision loss to Tony Gravely in the former's UFC PPV debut, ending his five-fight winning streak in the process.

On the other, the undefeated Daniel Marcos makes his PPV debut at UFC 283. He's shown tremendous ability to finish off his opponents, picking up knockout victories in four of his last seven fights. Furthermore, he has momentum stemming from a unanimous decision win over Brandon Lewis on Dana White's Contender Series 2022.

In a fight where neither man has much UFC experience, I'm siding with Marcos. His 84% takedown defense rate should keep him on his feet, where he has the striking advantage. He averages more significant strikes per minute (5.40) than Oliveira (2.73) with better accuracy (47% vs. 44%).

It'll be a close one, but I see Marcos being victorious in his PPV debut.

Oliveira vs Marcos Best Bet

Taking Marcos outright on the moneyline makes a ton of sense in the event of an upset. However, if you're looking for more value, I also suggest backing him to win by points.

After all, six of Marcos' last 11 fights have gone distance while both of Oliveira's two under the UFC banner have done so as well. Furthermore, FanDuel Sportsbook is giving the matchup +108 odds to go the distance, carrying an implied probability of 40.8%.

Marcos is a perfect 6-0 when his fights go the distance, whereas Oliveira is 2-4 in that same scenario. As long as Marcos sticks to what's worked, he'll get enough points to pull off the victory.

Bet: Marcos ML (+122) or Marcos by Points (+390)


Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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