Raptors vs. Heat Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for March 28 (Home-Court Advantage Proves Crucial for Toronto)

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA regular season game.
Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA regular season game. / AP Photos/Jae C. Hong

Raptors vs. Heat Game Info

  • Date: Tuesday, March 28, 2023
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena -- Toronto, Ontario
  • Coverage: TNT and TSN

The 2022-23 NBA season continues on Tuesday with six more games, including a battle between the Miami Heat and Toronto Raptors. The Heat rank seventh in the Eastern Conference with an 40-35 record, while the Raptors check in ninth with a pedestrian 37-38 record. This one could go either way.

Miami enters as a victor in four of its last six games, but fell short in a 129-100 loss to the Brooklyn Nets on Saturday. Meanwhile, Toronto has now won five of its last seven games following a 114-104 victory over the Washington Wizards on Sunday. Which playoff hopeful will win on Tuesday night?

Raptors vs. Heat Odds & Spread

  • All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
  • Moneyline: TOR: (-156) | MIA: (+132)
  • Spread: TOR: -3.5 (-110) | MIA: +3.5 (-110)
  • Total: 219.5 -- Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

The Raptors enter this contest as small home favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 7:30 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 219.5 points, which ranks as the lowest of Tuesday's projected totals.

Raptors vs Heat Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Raptors -3 - - 218.5 -110 -110 -142 120

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Raptors vs. Heat Betting Trends

  • The Raptors put together a 47-35-0 record against the spread last season.
  • As 3-point underdogs or more, the Heat went 13-3 against the spread last season.
  • Raptors games went over the point total 41 out of 82 times last season.
  • There were 46 Heat games (out of 82) that went over the total last year.

Raptors vs. Heat Prediction & Pick

Toronto has failed to match their winning ways from the last few seasons during this campaign due to some woeful shooting stats. The Raptors rank outside the top 20 teams in shooting percentage and effective field goal percentage, but the good news is that the Heat find themselves in the same spot.

Facing another poor shooting team gives Toronto a huge edge here as it can focus on its ability to take away the ball. The Raptors rank second in the NBA in turnovers forced per game (16.6). They are also a reliable 25-14 at home this season with an average scoring margin of +4.1 (No. 13 in NBA).

Toronto has won four of its last six games against Miami, so trust the Raptors to emerge victorious.

Final Score Prediction: Raptors: 113 | Heat: 110

Raptors vs. Heat Best Bet

The Heat are fighting to stay out of the dreaded play-in tournament and Tyler Herro has been at the front of those efforts. The 23-year-old is averaging 20.3 points, 5.6 rebounds and 4.3 assists on a 43.8% shooting mark this year. He has a shot to pick apart a middling Toronto defense on Tuesday.

The Raptors allow an opponent three-point shooting percentage of 37.6% (No. 28 in NBA) on the season and an average of 25.0 opponent free throw attempts over its last three games. Herro has tallied at least 28 points, rebounds and assists in six of his last nine games. Expect more of the same.

Bet: Tyler Herro Over 27.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-125)

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.