Purdue vs Penn State Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for January 8 (Expect a Close Game at the Palestra)

Larry Rupp
Purdue vs Penn State prediction, odds and betting insights for NCAA college basketball regular season game.
Purdue vs Penn State prediction, odds and betting insights for NCAA college basketball regular season game. / AP Photos/Doug McSchooler

Purdue vs Penn State Game Info

  • 2022-23 NCAA Basketball Regular Season Game
  • No. 1 Purdue (14-1, 3-1 Big Ten) vs. Penn State (11-4, 2-2 Big Ten)
  • Date: Sunday, January 8, 2023
  • Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Palestra -- Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

The 2022-23 college basketball season continues on Sunday with a Big Ten matchup between the No. 1 Purdue Boilermakers and Penn State Nittany Lions. Purdue escaped with a 71-69 win over Ohio State on Thursday. Braden Smith hit a go-ahead three-pointer with only seconds left on the clock.

Meanwhile, Penn State is coming off a disappointing 79-69 loss to Michigan on Wednesday. Jalen Pickett dazzled once again with 26 points (9-of-16 shooting), 9 rebounds and 4 assists. The Nittany Lions allowed Michigan to shoot 25 free throws, though, and forced only 3 turnovers in the loss.

Purdue vs Penn State Odds & Spread

Purdue enters this contest as notable favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 6 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 135.5 points, which is about average compared to Sunday's projected totals.

Purdue vs Penn State Betting Trends

  • Purdue has five wins in 15 games against the spread this year.
  • The Boilermakers have one win ATS (1-10) as a 4.5-point favorite or greater this season.
  • Purdue has played 15 games this season, and five of them have hit the over.
  • Penn State is 8-6-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Nittany Lions have one win ATS (1-1) as a 4.5-point underdog or more this season.
  • Penn State has seen six of its 14 games hit the over.
Purdue Rank Purdue AVG Penn State AVG Penn State Rank
100th 75.9 Points Scored 75.5 109th
25th 61.4 Points Allowed 66.9 120th
4th 38.3 Rebounds 31.9 211th
16th 11.7 Off. Rebounds 5.1 359th
191st 7.4 3pt Made 10.9 5th
59th 15.4 Assists 15 79th
23rd 10.2 Turnovers 8.4 1st

Purdue vs Penn State Prediction & Pick

Penn State got a hard dose of reality its last time out as Michigan put together the perfect game plan. The Wolverines stayed close along the perimeter to stop a stellar three-point shooters from taking shots and played aggressive defense to force turnovers against a team that never commits them.

The Nittany Lions are likely going to avoid the paint as they don't roster much size and Zach Edey will be defending for the Boilermakers. It'll be up to Purdue's defense to stay vigilant as it allows an opponent three-point shooting mark of only 29.0% (No. 24 in NCAA). That's not great for Penn State.

Purdue is also 13-1 straight up in its last 14 games against Penn State, so give me the Boilermakers.

Final Score Prediction: Purdue: 70 | Penn State: 67

Purdue vs Penn State Best Bet

This game has a one-possession feel to it, especially since its being played at the legendary Palestra in Philadelphia. Purdue is only 1-8 against the spread (ATS) in its last nine games and 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games against a Big Ten opponent. Head coach att Painter's team is not blowing anyone out.

On the other side, Penn State is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games and 7-2 ATS in its last nine games against a Big Ten opponent. The Nittany Lions are also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against the Boilermakers. They'll hit just enough three-pointers to keep this game close until the final whistle.

Bet: Penn State Nittany Lions +5.5 (-112)

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Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.