Phillies vs Braves Prediction, Odds, Betting Trends & Probable Pitchers for NLDS Game 1 MLB Playoffs

Phillies vs Braves Game 1 Info

2022 MLB Playoffs — NLDS Game 1
No. 6 Philadelphia Phillies (87-75, 40-41 Away) vs. No. 1 Atlanta Braves (101-61, 55-26 Home)
Date: Tuesday, October 11, 2022
Time: 1:07 p.m. ET
Venue: Truist Park — Atlanta, GA
Coverage: FOX

The NLDS round of the 2022 MLB Playoffs features a pair of exciting matchups , including a divisional showdown between the 6-seed Philadelphia Phillies and 2-seed Atlanta Braves. The Phillies took advantage of their first postseason berth in 10 years by sweeping the St. Louis Cardinals in the Wild Card round last weekend.

Meanwhile, the Braves' quest to be the first back-to-back World Series champions since the New York Yankees won three straight in 1998-2000 starts on Tuesday. A team that once sat 10.5 games back of first place in the NL East now has all the momentum in the world after coming back to capture the divisional crown.

Phillies vs Braves Odds & Spread

All MLB Postseason betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: PHI: (+152) | ATL: (-180)
Spread: PHI: +1.5 (-146) | ATL: -1.5 (+122)
Total: 6.5 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

The Braves enter this contest as a clear home favorite on the moneyline and spread. They are listed at -180 moneyline odds with +122 odds to cover the 1.5-run spread. The over/under on this matchup features a low 6.5 runs, notably because of the strength of the starting pitchers for each side.

Phillies vs Braves Prediction & Pick

The Braves are rightly slated as the favorite in this series, but the Phillies are surely going to put up a fight. Atlanta hasn't played baseball in almost a week and could showcase some rust at the plate. What will bring home the win in Game 1 is pitcher Max Fried. The All-Star left-hander is familiar with Philadelphia's lineup and knows what it takes to get even their top players to strike out.

Fried owns a 4-4 record as well as a 3.74 ERA across 18 appearances (12 starts) against the Phillies in his career. He has also logged 79 strikeouts in 74.2 innings pitched. In September, Fried allowed 3 ER across 11.0 innings in 2 starts against Philly. The Braves will likely only need 2 or 3 runs to secure the win in this game, which shouldn't be too hard to accomplish with Austin Riley and Ronald Acuna.

Final Score Prediction: Phillies: 2 | Braves: 3

Phillies vs Braves Probable Starting Pitchers

Note: Both the Phillies and Braves have yet to release their official probable pitchers. The below is a projection outlined from Phillies insider Corey Seidman.

The Philadelphia Phillies will look to Ranger Suarez (10-7, 3.65 ERA) in Game 1 and the Atlanta Braves hand the ball to Max Fried (14-7, 2.48 ERA).

Phillies vs Braves Betting Trends

- Philadelphia is 1-4 straight up in its last five away games against Atlanta.
- The total has hit the over in six of Philadelphia's last nine games in October.
- Atlanta is 13-1 straight up in its last 14 home games.
- The total has hit the under in six of Atlanta's last eight games played on a Tuesday.

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.