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Patriots vs Packers Prediction, Odds & Betting Trends for NFL Week 4 Game on FanDuel Sportsbook (Oct 2)

Larry Rupp
New England Patriots vs Green Bay Packers prediction, odds and betting trends for NFL Week 4 game.
New England Patriots vs Green Bay Packers prediction, odds and betting trends for NFL Week 4 game. / AP Photos/Morry Gash
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Patriots vs Packers Week 4 Game Info

2022 NFL Regular Season — Week 4
New England Patriots (1-2, 1-1 Away) vs. Green Bay Packers (2-1, 1-0 Home)
Date: Sunday, October 2, 2022
Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
Venue: Lambeau Field — Green Bay, WI
Coverage: CBS

The New England Patriots will aim to overcome one of the best home-field advantages in the NFL when they visit the Green Bay Packers in Week 4 action. The Patriots came up short against the Baltimore Ravens in Week 3 and lost quarterback Mac Jones to an ankle injury in the process.

Meanwhile, the Packers are flying high after back-to-back wins over the Chicago Bears and Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Wide receivers Romeo Doubs and Allen Lazard both hauled in a touchdown pass in Week 3, which should go a long way towards building chemistry with quarterback Aaron Rodgers.

Patriots vs Packers Odds & Spread

All NFL betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: NE: (+360) | GB: (-460)
Spread: NE: +9.5 (-108) | GB: -10.5 (-112)
Total: 39.5 — Over: (-114) | Under: (-106)

Updated (Sunday, Oct. 2, 10:15 a.m. EST): The Packers enter this contest as a heavy home favorite on the moneyline and the spread. This 4:25 p.m. ET clash also features the second-lowest projected total (38.5) on the NFL Week 4 slate.

Patriots vs Packers Prediction & Pick

As mentioned above, the Patriots will be without their starting QB in this game as Jones has been ruled out with a high ankle sprain. He was screaming in pain as he headed down to the locker room on Sunday and will likely miss a good amount of time. Backup QB Brian Hoyer will lead New England's offense moving forward.

That gives the Packers a massive advantage here. Hoyer owns a career record of 16-23 and hasn't led his team to a win since 2016. Green Bay has been dominant at home, too, winning nine of its last 10 games at Lambeau Field. The Patriots don't have the firepower to pull off a huge upset here.

Final Score Prediction: Packers: 28 | Patriots 10

Patriots vs Packers Betting Trends

- New England is 0-4-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last five games.
- The total has hit the under in five of New England's last six games against Green Bay.
- Green Bay is 9-1 straight up in its last 10 home games.
- The total has hit the under in four of Green Bay's last five games.

Patriots vs Packers Best Bet

All NFL betting lines, odds and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.

This game features the second-lowest total of any game on the Week 4 slate, and it's low for a reason. The under has hit in six of New England's last eight away games and five of the last six head-to-head meetings between the Patriots and Packers. That trend should continue in Week 4.

Not only is Hoyer going to have to deal with overwhelming crowd noise, but he is also going to have to deal with a Green Bay defense that has held their opponents to 302.7 yards per game this season (No. 7 in NFL). The Packers will get out to a big lead and chew the clock enough for the under to hit.

Bet: Under 39.5 Points (-106)

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Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

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