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Padres vs Mets Prediction, Odds, Betting Trends & Probable Pitchers for NL Wild Card Game 1 MLB Playoffs (Oct 7)

Adam Taylor McKillop
San Diego Padres vs New York Mets prediction, odds, betting trends and probable pitchers for NL Wild Card Game 1 in MLB Playoffs.
San Diego Padres vs New York Mets prediction, odds, betting trends and probable pitchers for NL Wild Card Game 1 in MLB Playoffs. /
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Padres vs Mets Game 1 Info

2022 MLB Playoffs — NL Wild Card Game 1
No. 5 San Diego Padres (89-73, 45-36 Away) vs. No. 4 New York Mets (101-61, 54-27 Home)
Date: Friday, October 7, 2022
Time: 8:07 p.m. ET
Venue: Citi Field — Queens, NY
Coverage: ESPN

The NL Wild Card round of the 2022 MLB Playoffs features a quartet of exciting matchups, perhaps none bigger than the 5-seed San Diego Padres visiting the 4-seed New York Mets. New York collapsed their 10.5-game lead in the NL East and lost the opportunity at that coveted first round bye, but still ended the year with 101 wins.

On the other side is a Padres squad that acquired big-name talent at the deadline in the forms of slugger Juan Soto and closer Josh Hader. San Diego stumbled down the stretch, but held off the Philadelphia Phillies and Milwaukee Brewers for the NL's second Wild Card spot.

Padres vs Mets Odds & Spread

All MLB Postseason betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: SD: (+130) | NYM: (-154)
Spread: SD: +1.5 (-200) | NYM: -1.5 (+164)
Total: 6 — Over: (-118) | Under: (-104)

The Mets enter this contest as a solid home favorite on the moneyline and spread. They are listed at -154 moneyline odds with +164 odds to cover the 1.5-run spread. The over/under on this matchup features a low 6 runs, notably because the strength of the starting pitchers for each side.

Padres vs Mets Prediction & Pick

San Diego sends Yu Darvish up as their best defense against the elite starting pitching combination of Max Scherzer and Jacob deGrom. This one will come down to the starting pitching and Scherzer has the edge. He's just too familiar with the big moments and the roar of a playoff atmosphere.

New York's lineup may not be as deep as San Diego's, but stars like Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso will be able to get Darvish for one or two runs, and that's enough for a win. Darvish has been incredible against New York in 2022, pitching to a 2-0 record and 0.64 ERA. But, the third time's a charm.

Final Score Prediction: Padres: 2 | Mets: 3

Padres vs Mets Probable Starting Pitchers

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the San Diego Padres looking to Yu Darvish (16-8, 3.10 ERA) and Max Scherzer (11-5, 2.29 ERA) taking the ball for the New York Mets.

Padres vs Mets Betting Trends

- The Mets are 3-2 against the spread (ATS) in their last five games.
- The total has hit the over in 42 of the Mets' 81 games at home.
- San Diego is 2-3 straight up in their last five games.
- The total has hit the under in three of San Diego's last five games.

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Adam Taylor McKillop is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Adam Taylor also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username atmckillop. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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