Pacers vs. Mavericks Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for March 27 (Dallas' Playoff Hopes Suffer Another Blow)

Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA regular season game.
Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA regular season game. / AP Photos/Michael Dwyer

Pacers vs. Mavericks Game Info

  • Date: Monday, March 27, 2023
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse -- Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Coverage: NBA TV, BSIN, and BSSW

The 2022-23 NBA season continues on Monday with eight more games, including a battle between the Dallas Mavericks and Indiana Pacers. The Mavericks rank 11th in the Western Conference with a subpar 36-39 record, while the Pacers check in 11th in the Eastern Conference with a 33-42 record.

Dallas enters as a loser in seven of its last nine games following a 110-104 loss to the Charlotte Hornets on Sunday. Meanwhile, Indiana has now dropped five of its last seven games thanks to a 143-130 loss to the Atlanta Hawks on Saturday. Which team will bounce back with a victory tonight?

Pacers vs. Mavericks Odds & Spread

  • All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
  • Moneyline: IND: (-112) | DAL: (-104)
  • Spread: IND: -1 (-112) | DAL: +1 (-108)
  • Total: 234 -- Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

The Pacers come into this contest as slight home favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 7 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 234 points, which is above average compared to Monday's projected totals.

Mavericks vs Pacers Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Mavericks -1 - - 229.5 -110 -110 -118 -100

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Pacers vs. Mavericks Betting Trends

  • The Mavericks have registered a 27-44-3 record against the spread this season.
  • This season, the Pacers have an ATS record of 30-23 in their 53 games as an underdog of 1 point or more.
  • This season, Mavericks games have hit the over 38 times out of 71 chances.
  • Pacers games this season have hit the over on 34 of 71 set point totals (47.9%).
  • Dallas has a worse record against the spread at home (12-23-2) than it does in away games (15-21-1).
  • In 2022-23 against the spread, Indiana has a better winning percentage at home (.588, 20-13-1 record) than on the road (.459, 17-20-0).

Pacers vs. Mavericks Prediction & Pick

Nothing is going right for the Mavericks as their recent losing ways have them on the outside of the playoff picture with only a handful of games to go. To make matters worse, Luka Doncic (33.0 points, 8.7 rebounds & 8.2 assists) won't play against Indiana after receiving his 16th technical foul yesterday.

Dallas is only 5-10 across 15 games without Doncic this season and is playing on the second night of a back-to-back as well. Fatigue may be a factor against a Pacers team that is in desperate need of a win just to stay within reach of the No. 10 seed. Indiana sports a 19-17 home record this season.

Dallas has also lost four of its last six games against Indiana, so fade the Mavericks on Monday night.

Final Score Prediction: Pacers: 122 | Mavericks: 117

Pacers vs. Mavericks Best Bet

It's easy to assume that the Mavericks' offense is going to take a massive hit without Doncic on the court. That may be true, but his absence is going to allow them to play at a quickened pace. The star point guard tends to take up the entirety of the shot clock before making an isolated move to score.

It's worth noting Dallas is also playing Indiana, which is a team that is tied atop the NBA in terms of pace. Players are going to be flying up and down the floor in this one. The total has hit the over in each of the Pacers' last five home games and in five of their last seven games against the Mavericks.

Bet: Over 234 Total Points (-110)

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.