Orioles vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for May 5 (Atlanta's Offense Crushes Dean Kremer at Truist Park)
By Larry Rupp
The Atlanta Braves (22-10) will aim to earn their sixth victory in their last seven games when they host the Baltimore Orioles (21-10) in the first matchup of their three-game series on Friday, May 5.
Orioles vs Braves Game Info
- Date: Friday, May 5, 2023
- Time: 7:20 PM ET
- Venue: Truist Park -- Atlanta, Georgia
- Coverage: BSSE
Both Baltimore and Atlanta have enjoyed successful starts to the season, which makes this series an intriguing one to keep an eye on for MLB fans. Baltimore is coming off a series win where they took two of three games from the Royals, while Atlanta swept the Marlins in a three-game road series.
Orioles vs Braves Odds & Spread
- All MLB betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: BAL: (+184) | ATL: (-220)
- Spread: BAL: +1.5 (-115) | ATL: -1.5 (-104)
- Total: 8.5 -- Over: (+100) | Under: (-122)
The Braves enter this contest as clear home favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 7:20 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 8.5 runs with the under being favored at -122 odds.
Orioles vs Braves Betting Trends
- Baltimore is 8-2 straight up in its last 10 away games.
- The total has hit the over in five of Baltimore's last seven games.
- Atlanta is 4-1 straight up in its last five games against Baltimore.
- The total has hit the under in each of Atlanta's last five games against Baltimore.
Orioles vs Braves Prediction & Pick
It's worth noting these teams line up similarly at the plate as the Orioles and Braves both rank among the top 10 teams in runs per game, on-base percentage, and home runs per game. The same thing cannot be said about the two pitching staffs, though, as there is a major difference in success rate.
Atlanta ranks fifth in team ERA (3.51) and will be sending Max Fried to the mound on Friday night. Fried has posted an impressive 0.45 ERA and 0.90 WHIP across four starts this season (2-0 record). The 29-year-old has put together three straight scoreless outings heading into this showdown.
On the other side, Baltimore ranks 18th in team ERA (4.57) and is counting on Dean Kremer to lead the way on the mound. Kremer has struggled with a 6.67 ERA and 1.58 WHIP across six starts (2-1 record). He has allowed at least four runs in five of those six starts, too, so I'll fade him on the road.
Final Score Prediction: Orioles: 4 | Braves: 6
Orioles vs Braves Best Bet
There's not too much explaining to do with this best bet. As mentioned above, Kremer has allowed at least 4 runs in five of his six starts. Atlanta should jump on him early, while Fried cruises through an Orioles lineup that has little to no experience facing him. I like Baltimoe to get to 4 runs by the time the game is over, but not before the Braves do. This bet seems like a steal at relatively even odds.
Bet: Race to 4 Runs - Atlanta Braves (-112)
Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.