Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for May 19 (Don't Expect Fireworks at Rogers Centre)

Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays prediction, odds and betting insights for MLB regular season game.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays prediction, odds and betting insights for MLB regular season game. / AP Photo/Seth Wenig

The Toronto Blue Jays (25-19) look to make up some ground in the AL East when they begin a three-game series against the rival Baltimore Orioles (28-16) on Friday, May 19.

Orioles vs Blue Jays Game Info

  • Date: Friday, May 19, 2023
  • Time: 7:07 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Rogers Centre -- Toronto, Ontario
  • Coverage: Apple TV+

After tallying back-to-back wins, the Orioles head into tonight's game following Thursday's 6-5 loss to the Los Angeles Angels. The Blue Jays also look to rebound after losing three of four games to the New York Yankees, falling 4-2 in the latest matchup last night.

Orioles vs Blue Jays Odds & Spread

  • All MLB betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
  • Moneyline: BAL: (+134) | TOR: (-158)
  • Spread: BAL: +1.5 (-152) | TOR: -1.5 (+126)
  • Total: 9.5 -- Over: (+100) | Under: (-122)

The Blue Jays enter this contest as home favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 7:07 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 9.5 runs with the over being favored at -122 odds.

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Orioles vs Blue Jays Betting Trends

  • Baltimore is 4-2 straight up (SU) in its last six games against the AL East.
  • Toronto is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games against Baltimore.
  • The total has hit the Over in nine of Baltimore's last 12 road games against Toronto.
  • The total has hit the Under in nine of Toronto's last 13 home games.

Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction & Pick

After going 4-0 in his first six starts of the year, Orioles starting pitcher Kyle Gibson has been trending downward. The former MLB All-Star has lost each of his last three appearances, pitching to a 6.11 ERA while allowing 23 hits and five walks over 17.2 innings.

Meanwhile, Yusei Kikuchi has been nothing but solid for the Blue Jays thus far. The 31-year-old hurler is a perfect 5-0 with a 3.89 ERA heading into his ninth start. What's even more impressive is he only has a 2.87 ERA in a trio of starts at Rogers Centre, averaging a whopping 13.8 strikeouts per nine innings along the way.

While Gibson is capable of turning things around, it's extremely alarming that the Orioles have scored zero runs in his last three starts. Playing at Rogers Centre has also been hell for him in the past, pitching to a 5.96 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in four previous Toronto starts.

With both sides losing more often than they've won lately, I'll back the Jays to win thanks to the home-field advantage and Kikuchi's superior pitching.

Final Score Prediction: Blue Jays: 4 | Orioles: 3

Orioles vs Blue Jays Best Bet

I'm siding with the Under on the 9.5-run total as the best bet for tonight's festivities. For starters, the Under is 12-6-1 at Rogers Centre so far this season. Secondly, the Orioles and Blue Jays have combined for fewer than 9.5 runs in each of their last seven meetings, averaging 7.6 runs over that span.

With Kikuchi pitching well and Gibson due for a bounce-back showing sooner than later, the Under is the way to go.

Bet: Under 9.5 Total Runs (-122)

Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.