Oregon vs North Carolina Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for 2022 Holiday Bowl (Ducks Fend Off Tar Heels in San Diego)

Larry Rupp
Oregon vs North Carolina odds, prediction and betting trends for NCAA college football Holiday Bowl.
Oregon vs North Carolina odds, prediction and betting trends for NCAA college football Holiday Bowl. / AP Photos/Andy Nelson
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Oregon vs North Carolina Holiday Bowl Game Info

2022 College Football Game - Holiday Bowl
No. 15 Oregon Ducks (9-3) vs. North Carolina Tar Heels (9-4)
Date: Wednesday, Dec. 28, 2022
Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Petco Park — San Diego, CA
Coverage: FOX

With the 2022-23 college football regular season in the rearview mirror, bowl games are right around the corner. The Holiday Bowl is set for kickoff on Wednesday, Dec. 28, and pits the No. 15 Oregon Ducks against the North Carolina Tar Heels. It will be Oregon's fourth appearance at the Holiday Bowl, but North Carolina's first.

Oregon entered its final game of the season with a chance to go to the Pac-12 Championship, but fell to Oregon State by a score of 38-34 and finished 9-3. Meanwhile, North Carolina also went 9-3 before falling to Clemson in the ACC Championship Game by a score of 39-10. Which team will bounce back with a win here?

Oregon vs North Carolina Odds & Spread

All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: ORE: (-500) | UNC: (+375)
Spread: ORE: -13.5 (-110) | UNC: +13.5 (-110)
Total: 71.5 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

Oregon enters this contest as a heavy favorite on the moneyline and spread. This clash also features a total of 71.5 points, which is well above average when compared to the rest of the college football bowl game slate.

Oregon vs North Carolina Prediction & Pick

This is going to be an exciting game between two teams that know how to reach the end zone. Oregon averages an impressive 36.9 points per game (No. 14 in FBS), while North Carolina puts up 33.3 points per game (No. 23 in FBS). Each team ranks among the top 20 in yards per game as well.

The Tar Heels will be without one of their top offensive players, though. Wide receiver Josh Downs has declared for the NFL Draft and will not suit up for the Liberty Bowl. He had logged 1,029 yards on 94 receptions this season. Ducks quarterback Bo Nix has announced he will play, however, which is a boost.

Look for freshman QB Drake Maye to struggle early on without his top target. That will give Oregon a chance to grab the lead and never look back.

Final Score Prediction: Oregon: 38 | North Carolina: 28

Oregon vs North Carolina Betting Trends

- Oregon is 8-4 against the spread (ATS) this season.
- The total has hit the over in seven of Oregon's 12 games this season.
- North Carolina is 6-7 ATS this season.
- The total has hit the under in seven of North Carolina's 13 games this season.

Oregon vs North Carolina Best Bet

This game features one of the highest point totals of any college football bowl game at 71.5. When a total is set that high, there's so much that can cause the under to hit. That includes anything from missed field goals to red zone turnovers. Even just one lengthy possession would make a big impact.

The total has hit the under in three of Oregon's last four games as well as in four of North Carolina's last five games. Both the Ducks and the Tar Heels have allowed 30 points or less in four of their last six games as well. This one is going to be a barnburner, but 71.5 points is too much.

Bet: Under 71.5 Points (-110)

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Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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