Nuggets vs. Warriors Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for February 2 (Shorthanded Golden State Can't Handle Jokic & Co.)

Devon Platana
Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA regular season game.
Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA regular season game. / (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)

Nuggets vs. Warriors Game Info

  • Date: Thursday, February 2, 2023
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Ball Arena -- Denver, Colorado
  • Coverage: ALT and NBCS-BA

The Denver Nuggets (35-16) are set to host the Golden State Warriors (26-25) at Ball Arena in one of seven NBA matchups slated for Thursday, Feb. 2.

Momentum is on the Nuggets' side following a 122-113 victory over the New Orleans Pelicans on Tuesay. Meanwhile, the Warriors' winning streak came to a screeching halt at three games with a 119-114 overtime loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves last night.

Can the Nuggets stand tall at home once again? Or do the Warriors have what it takes to return to their winning ways?

Nuggets vs. Warriors Odds & Spread

  • All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
  • Moneyline: GSW: (+480) | DEN: (-650)
  • Spread: GSW: +12 (-110) | DEN: -12 (-110)
  • Total: 231.5 -- Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

The Nuggets enter this contest as lopsided home favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 9 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 231.5 points with -110 odds on both sides.

Nuggets vs Warriors Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Nuggets -11.5 - - 239.5 -110 -110 -590 430

Nuggets vs. Warriors Betting Trends

  • The Nuggets have put together a 27-22-1 record against the spread this season.
  • This season, Nuggets games have hit the over 24 times.
  • The Warriors have hit the over 56% of the time this season (28 of 50 games with a set point total).
  • Denver sports a better record against the spread in home games (16-10-1) than it does in away games (11-12-0).
  • This year, Golden State is 15-9-1 at home against the spread (.600 winning percentage). On the road, it is 9-16-0 ATS (.360).

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Nuggets vs. Warriors Prediction & Pick

Tonight marks the Warriors' fourth game in the last six nights, meaning there's a good chance that they'll be shorthanded. After all, head coach Steve Kerr hasn't shied away from giving his starters a breather on the second night of back-to-back outings. Hence why names like Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson and Draymond Green are all questionable due to rest.

Assuming the Warriors are without their top players, you can fade them right away. Golden State already struggles on the road regardless of who plays (7-19 away record) and now must face the Nuggets, who are 23-4 at Ball Arena this season.

The Nuggets already beat the Warriors on the road back in October and with the latter likely missing key pieces, I have a good feeling that the hometown crowd will be happy with tonight's final result.

Final Score Prediction: Nuggets: 127 | Warriors: 114

Nuggets vs. Warriors Best Bet

Nikola Jokic has strung together some solid performances against the Warriors, averaging 30.1 PPG on 63.6% true shooting in his last 10 meetings. With a projected point total of 25.5 heading into tonight's contest, I don't believe that he'll have any issue hitting the over.

For starters, Jokic has finished with more than 25.5 points in seven of his last nine games against the Warriors — including each of the last five clashes. Furthermore, he's also finished with the over in four of his last five outings this season.

With key defenders like Green and Andrew Wiggins likely sidelined for the Warriors, I see Jokic having another performance to remember.

Bet: Nikola Jokic — Points: Over 25.5 (-113)

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Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.