Nuggets vs. Suns Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for January 11 (Denver Earns Another Home Win at Ball Arena)

Larry Rupp
Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA regular season game.
Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA regular season game. / AP Photos/Darryl Webb
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Nuggets vs. Suns Game Info

  • Date: Wednesday, January 11, 2023
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Ball Arena -- Denver, Colorado
  • Coverage: ESPN, ALT, and BSAZ

The 2022-23 NBA season continues on Wednesday with eight more games, including a battle between the Phoenix Suns and Denver Nuggets. The Suns rank seventh in the Western Conference with an even 21-21 record, while the Nuggets check in first with an impressive 27-13 record.

Phoenix snapped a six-game losing streak with a stellar 125-113 win over the Golden State Warriors on Tuesday. Meanwhile, Denver has now won five of its last six games following a 122-109 victory over the Los Angeles Lakers on Monday. Which Western Conference contender will win tonight?

Nuggets vs. Suns Odds & Spread

Nuggets vs Suns Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Nuggets -12 - - 228.5 -110 -110 -800 560
  • All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
  • Moneyline: DEN: (-900) | PHO: (+610)
  • Spread: DEN: -13 (-110) | PHO: +13 (-110)
  • Total: 227.5 -- Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

The Nuggets enter this contest as heavy home favorites on moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 10 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 227.5 points, which is about average when compared to Wednesday's projected totals.

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Nuggets vs. Suns Betting Trends

  • The Nuggets have covered the spread 21 times in 40 games with a set spread.
  • The Suns covered the spread in their only game when underdogs by 12 points or more.
  • Nuggets games have gone over the total 20 times out of 41 chances this season.
  • Suns games this season have hit the over 19 times in 41 opportunities (46.3%).
  • Denver owns a better record against the spread when playing at home (12-7-1) than it does in road games (9-11-0).
  • Against the spread, Phoenix has performed better at home (11-10-0) than on the road (10-10-0).

Nuggets vs. Suns Prediction & Pick

This is not the same Suns team that has made it to the Western Conference Semifinals in each of the last two seasons. It's a Suns team that is struggling without its top two stars healthy and one road win over the Warriors isn't going to change that. Chris Paul and Devin Booker are badly missed right now.

The Nuggets are a dominant 17-3 at home this season and have posted an average scoring margin of +10.7 at Ball Arena (No. 2 in NBA). They are also shooting 51.8% from the floor at home (No. 2 in NBA), while the Suns are shooting 45.9% on the road (No. 21 in NBA). This game is a complete mismatch.

Denver is riding a 10-game home winning streak and I don't see it ending against the Suns tonight.

Final Score Prediction: Nuggets: 116 | Suns: 106

Nuggets vs. Suns Best Bet

I like the Nuggets' chances of pulling away in the second half of this game, but covering a 13-point spread is a lot to ask of them. After all, only one of Denver's last eight victories have come by more than 13 points. When these teams met back on Dec. 25, the Nuggets won by a score of 128-125 (OT).

The Suns are 6-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last seven games against a Western Conference opponent and a respectable 5-0 ATS in their last five games at Ball Arena. The Nuggets haven't beaten the Suns by more than 13 points at home since January of 2019. Take the points here.

Bet: Phoenix Suns +13 (-110)

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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