Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for March 3 (Defenses Step Up in Western Conference Battle)

Larry Rupp
Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA regular season game.
Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA regular season game. / AP Photos/Eric Christian Smith

Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Game Info

  • Date: Friday, March 3, 2023
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Ball Arena -- Denver, Colorado
  • Coverage: ESPN, ALT, and BSSE

The 2022-23 NBA season continues on Friday with 10 more games, including a battle between the Memphis Grizzlies and Denver Nuggets. The Grizzlies rank second in the Western Conference with a 38-23 record, while the Nuggets check in first with a 44-19 record. This one could go either way.

Memphis enters as a victor in four of its last five games following a 113-99 win over the Houston Rockets on Wednesday. Meanwhile, Denver has now won six of its last seven games thanks to a 133-112 victory over the Houston Rockets on Tuesday. Which NBA title contender will win on Friday night?

Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Odds & Spread

  • All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
  • Moneyline: DEN: (-198) | MEM: (+166)
  • Spread: DEN: -5 (-108) | MEM: +5 (-112)
  • Total: 234 -- Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

The Nuggets enter this contest as notable home favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 10 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 234 points, which is above average compared to Friday's projected totals.

Nuggets vs Grizzlies Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Nuggets -5.5 - - - - - -230 190

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Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Betting Trends

  • The Nuggets covered 36 times in 82 chances against the spread last season.
  • The Grizzlies had an ATS record of 6-2-1 as underdogs of 5.5 points or more last year.
  • The Nuggets and their opponents combined to hit the over 47 out of 82 times last season.
  • Last year, 42 of the Grizzlies' 82 games went over the point total.

Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Prediction & Pick

NBA fans are in for a treat on Friday night as the two of the best teams in the Western Conference meet head-to-head inside Ball Arena. The Nuggets will be looking for some revenge as they fell short in a 112-94 loss to the Grizzlies on Feb. 25. Memphis was up by 24 at the half and never looked back.

Denver has a great chance to bounce back given it ranks second in offensive efficiency and owns a +11.8 average scoring margin at home (No. 1 in NBA). It's going to have to attack Memphis' weakness on the perimeter. The Grizzlies allow a 38.2% three-point shooting mark on the road (No. 25 in NBA).

Memphis has lost eight of its last nine away games against Denver, so fade the Grizzlies on Friday.

Final Score Prediction: Nuggets: 116 | Grizzlies: 111

Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Best Bet

Not only did Denver and Memphis combine for 206 total points in the most recent matchup, but the teams have combined for less than 235 total points in nine of the last 11 head-to-head showdowns. The Nuggets rank fifth in defensive efficiency at home, while the Grizzlies rank fourth on the road.

The total has hit the under in each of Memphis' last five games overall as well as in 10 of its last 11 games against a Western Conference opponent. The under has also cashed in 14 of Denver's last 20 games against a Southwest Division foe. Trust the trends and back a low-scoring game on Friday.

Bet: Under 234 points (-110)

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.