Nuggets vs Heat Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for NBA Finals Game 3 (Miami's Three-Point Shooting Proves Crucial)

The 2022-23 NBA Finals continue on Wednesday with an exciting Game 3 showdown between the Denver Nuggets and Miami Heat. The action will go down inside the Kaseya Center at 8:30 p.m. ET.

Nuggets vs Heat Game 3 Info

• Series: Tied 1-1
• Date: Wednesday, June 7, 2023
• Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Kaseya Center -- Miami, FL
• Coverage: ABC

A fourth-quarter flurry by the Heat helped them come back from an early deficit to earn a 111-108 victory over the Nuggets in Game 2 on Sunday night. Miami shot an impressive 11-of-16 in the final frame as Jimmy Butler bounced back with 21 points, 9 assists, and 4 rebounds in a great showing.

Nuggets vs Heat Odds & Spread

• All NBA betting lines, odds, and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: DEN: (-136) | MIA: (+116)
• Spread: DEN: -2.5 (-108) | MIA: +2.5 (-112)
• Total: 215 -- Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

The Nuggets enter this contest as slight road favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 8:30 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 215 points with both sides available at -110 odds.

Nuggets vs Heat Betting Trends

• Denver is 7-1 straight up in its last eight games against Miami.
• Miami is 12-6 straight up in its last 18 games overall.
• Denver is 1-5 against the spread (ATS) in its last six games in June.
• Miami is 7-2 ATS in its last nine home games.
• The total has hit the over in six of Denver's last nine away games.
• The total has hit the over in six of Miami's last seven games against Denver.

Nuggets vs Heat Prediction & Pick

The Heat found themselves down by eight points heading into the fourth quarter, but proved to those in attendance and those viewing it at home why they are in the NBA Finals. Their fighting mentality as well as their depth was on full display. Five different Miami players tallied at least 10 points in Game 2.

Denver saw little production outside of Nikola Jokic (41 points) and Jamal Murray (10 assists), which is something to monitor moving forward. The Nuggets cannot keep winning game if only their stars show up. Keep in mind they also allowed Miami to shoot 48.6% from beyond the arc on Sunday night.

That subpar defense could cost the Nuggets in a crucial Game 3 showdown. Miami is shooting 39.1% from downtown in the playoffs and roster six players draining at least 36.0% of their three-point attempts at home. Fade a Nuggets team that is 1-5 against the spread in its last six games in June.

Final Score Prediction: Nuggets: 110 | Heat: 112

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Nuggets vs Heat Best Bet

Speaking of sinking shots from long range, Gabe Vincent has been on fire so far in this series. The Miami sharpshooter is 9-of-16 from distance and has made at least 4 three-pointers in each of the first two games. He is regularly taking advantage of when being defended by Denver's guards.

Overall, Vincent has knocked down at least three 3-pointers in five of his last eight games played. There's no reason to believe he will see additional attention in Game 3 given that would open up the opportunity for Bam Adebayo or Jimmy Butler to completely take over. Trust Vincent to keep shining.

Bet: Gabe Vincent Over 2.5 Made Threes (-106)

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.