Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for December 20 (Defenses Reign Supreme in Denver on Tuesday)

Larry Rupp
Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA regular season game.
Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA regular season game. / AP Photos/David Zalubowski
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Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Game Info

  • Date: Tuesday, December 20, 2022
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Ball Arena -- Denver, Colorado
  • Coverage: TNT

The 2022-23 NBA season continues on Tuesday with five more games, including a battle between the Memphis Grizzlies and Denver Nuggets. The Grizzlies rank first in the Western Conference with a 19-10 record, while the Nuggets check in second with an 18-11 record. This is going to be a good one.

Memphis fell short in a 115-109 loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder on Saturday, which snapped an impressive seven-game winning streak. Meanwhile, Denver took care of business in a 119-115 win over the Charlotte Hornets for its fourth victory in the last five games. Which team stays hot tonight?

Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Odds & Spread

  • All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
  • Moneyline: MEM: (-126) | DEN: (+108)
  • Spread: MEM: -1.5 (-112) | DEN: +1.5 (-108)
  • Total: 235.5 -- Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

The Grizzlies enter this contest as slight road favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 10 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 235.5 points, which is the highest of Tuesday's projected totals.

Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Betting Trends

  • The Grizzlies went 51-30-1 ATS last season.
  • The Nuggets' ATS record as underdogs of 1.5 points or greater was 13-12-1 last season.
  • Grizzlies games went over the point total 42 out of 82 times last season.
  • The Nuggets had 47 of their 82 games go over the point total last year.

Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Prediction & Pick

The Grizzlies are simply a different team when playing away from FedEx Forum this season. Memphis is just 6-8 straight up on the road and average 112.9 points per game (119.3 at home). Their defense also takes a hit on the road as it allows an opponent shooting percentage of 47.4% (42.2% at home).

That's music to Denver's ears. The Nuggets thrive when playing in front of their own fans as they average 118.8 points per home game (No. 6 in NBA) on a 51.8% shooting mark (No. 1 in NBA). One thing to keep an eye on tonight is the injury status is starting point guard Jamal Murray, though.

I'll back a Nuggets squad that is 7-1 straight up in its last eight home games against the Grizzlies.

Final Score Prediction: Nuggets: 116 | Grizzlies: 113

Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Best Bet

These are two of the best offenses in the NBA, but a point total set at 135.5 is too high. The total has hit the under in four of Memphis' last six games as well as in four of its last five games against Denver. The under has also cashed in 10 of the Nuggets' last 14 games against a Southwest Division foe.

Memphis is allowing 106.3 points over its last three games (No. 7 in NBA) and commits 19.6 personal fouls per contest (No. 6 in NBA). On the other side, Denver has posted a stellar defensive rebounding percentage of 78.6% (No. 2 in NBA). Trust the defenses to get the job done and keep the total low.

Bet: Under 235.5 Points (-110)

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Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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