Mounir Lazzez vs Gabriel Bonfim Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for UFC 283 (Bonfim Impresses in PPV Debut)

Devon Platana
Mounir Lazzez vs Gabriel Bonfim betting preview for UFC 283, including predictions, odds and best bets.
Mounir Lazzez vs Gabriel Bonfim betting preview for UFC 283, including predictions, odds and best bets. / AP Photo/Frank Franklin II
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Lazzez vs Bonfim Fight Info, Date & Time

UFC 283 — Preliminary Card Welterweight Bout
Mounir Lazzez (11-2-0, 8 KOs) vs. Gabriel Bonfim (13-0-0, 3 KOs)
Date: Saturday, Jan. 21, 2023
Fight Time: This will be one of the fights on the preliminary card, which begins at 8 p.m. ET.
Venue: Jeunesse Arena — Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Coverage: ABC, ESPN, ESPN+

Lazzez vs Bonfim Odds & Prop Bets

All UFC 283 odds, lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline:
- Mounir Lazzez: (+146)
- Gabriel Bonfim: (-188)

Method of Victory:
- Lazzez by Points: (+429)
- Lazzez by KO/TKO: (+460)
- Lazzez by Submission: (+1800)
- Bonfim by Points: (+400)
- Bonfim by KO/TKO: (+420)
- Bonfim by Submission: (+200)

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Lazzez vs Bonfim Prediction

A victory this weekend would go a long way in getting either fighter some attention. For Mounir Lazzez, he looks to tally back-to-back UFC victories for the first time in his career following his unanimous decision win over Ange Loosa at UFC Vegas 51.

Meanwhile, Gabriel Bonfim aims to keep his perfect MMA record intact after submitting Trey Waters during Dana White's Contender Series 2022. He's now 13-0 to begin his career, finishing his opponents off in every single match as he's won three by knockout and 10 by submission.

Although Lazzez has been with the UFC longer, I like what Bonfim brings to the table. He's an excellent submission artist who's only had two fights go beyond the first round. Bonfim is going to give Lazzez a lot of trouble and will get the win in his PPV debut

Lazzez vs Bonfim Best Bet

Even though I'm backing Bonfim to win, it's hard to predict how he'll win. Ten of his 13 wins (76.9%) have come by submission, but Lazzez has never been submitted in his career. Furthermore, the latter has a 71% takedown defense rate that should help keep him off the mat.

With Lazzez also going 4-1 in his last five fights, I'm playing it safe with this one by taking Bonfim outright on the moneyline.

Bet: Bonfim Outright (-188)


Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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