Minnesota vs Purdue Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for Dec. 4 (Defenses Excel to Start Big Ten Play)

Larry Rupp
Minnesota vs Purdue prediction, odds and betting insights for NCAA college basketball regular season game.
Minnesota vs Purdue prediction, odds and betting insights for NCAA college basketball regular season game. / AP Photos/Craig Mitchelldyer

Minnesota vs Purdue Game Info

2022-23 NCAA College Basketball Regular Season Game
Minnesota Golden Gophers (4-3, 0-0 Big Ten) vs. No. 5 Purdue Boilermakers (7-0, 0-0 Big Ten)
Date: Sunday, Dec. 4, 2022
Time: 5:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Mackey Arena — West Lafayette, IN
Coverage: Big Ten Network

The 2022-23 college basketball season continues on Sunday with an exciting matchup between the Minnesota Golden Gophers and No. 5 Purdue Boilermakers. Minnesota couldn't keep up in a 67-57 loss to Virginia Tech on Monday. Ta'Lon Cooper and Pharrel Payne each dropped 13 points in that one.

Meanwhile, Purdue remains undefeated on the year following its 79-69 win over Florida State on Wednesday. Center Zach Edey shined once again with a team-high 25 points to go along with 8 rebounds. Braden Smith chipped in with 13 points, 9 rebounds and 7 assists in a well-rounded effort.

Minnesota vs Purdue Odds & Spread

All NCAA college basketball betting lines, odds and prop bets.
Moneyline: MINN: (+1600) | PUR: (-4500)
Spread: MINN: +19.5 (-115) | PUR: -19.5 (-105)
Total: 129.5 —Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

Purdue enters this contest as heavy home favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 5 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 129.5 points, which is below average compared to Sunday's projected totals.

Minnesota vs Purdue Prediction & Pick

Purdue is playing like a legtitimate title contender early on this season as it ranks among the top 35 teams in both offensive and defensive efficiency. The Boilermakers have already taken down storied programs such as Duke and Gonzaga, too. They should have no trouble beating the Golden Gophers.

Minnesota has been failing to play clean basketball this year, averaging 13.6 turnovers (T-No. 205 in NCAA) and only 8.4 offensive rebounds (T-No. 181 in NCAA) per game. The Golden Gophers are also 1-12 straight up in their last 13 games played at Mackey Arena. An upset win here would be shocking.

Final Score Prediction: Minnesota: 55 | Purdue: 69

Minnesota vs Purdue Betting Trends

- Minnesota is 6-12 straight up in its last 18 games against Purdue.
- The total has hit the under in seven of Minnesota's last eight games.
- Purdue is 0-7 against the spread (ATS) in its last seven Big Ten games.
- The total has hit the over in five of Purdue's last six games against Minnesota.

Minnesota vs Purdue Best Bet

The Boilermakers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games against a Big Ten opponent, so shifting gears to the point total is the best move to make. The under has hit in seven of Minnesota's last eight games as well as in 15 of Purdue's last 20 games. That's a noticeable trend.

It's a trend that is backed by solid team defense. The Golden Gophers allow only 63.1 points per game (No. 49 in NCAA) on a 39.1% shooting mark (No. 41 in NCAA). The Boilermakers give up just 60.9 points per game (No. 32 in NCAA) on a 37.4% shooting mark (No. 20 in NCAA). Back the under.

Bet: Under 129.5 Points (-110)

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Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.