NCAAF Betting

Michigan State vs Michigan Prediction, Odds & Betting Trends for College Football Week 9 Game on FanDuel Sportsbook

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Michigan State vs Michigan prediction, odds and betting trends for NCAA college football game.
Michigan State vs Michigan prediction, odds and betting trends for NCAA college football game. / Associated Press
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Michigan State vs Michigan Week 9 Game Info

2022 NCAA College Football Game
Michigan State Spartans (3-4, 1-3 Big Ten) vs. No. 4 Michigan Wolverines (7-0, 4-0 Big Ten)
Date: Saturday, Oct. 29, 2022
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
Venue: Michigan Stadium — Ann Arbor, MI
Coverage: ABC

Week 9 of the 2022 NCAA college football season includes a big rivalry game in the Big Ten. National TV coverage on ABC includes Michigan State at No. 4 Michigan on Saturday night with kickoff at 7:30 p.m. ET.

Both teams enter off a bye week, and the Wolverines crushed Penn State the previous game 42-17. The Spartans upset Wisconsin 34-28 in OT ahead of this contest, and it was MSU's highest scoring game vs a Power 5 team this season.

Michigan State vs Michigan Odds & Spread

All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: MSU: (+1200) | MICH: (-3000)
Spread: MSU: +22.5 (-110) | MICH: -22.5 (-110)
Total: 54.5 — Over: (-115) | Under: (-105)

No. 4 Michigan enters this contest as a huge spread (-22.5) and moneyline (-3000) favorite. A win by rival Michigan State returns 12/1 on your bet, or +1200. The total sits just below an average NCAA over/under at 54.5 points.

Michigan State vs Michigan Prediction & Pick

Michigan is one of just a handful of teams that rank highly with a strong, balanced offense and dominant defense. The Wolverines have a nearly perfectly balanced powerful offense averaging 241 rushing and 232 passing yards per game against FBS opponents (not including the 59-0 wipeout of UCONN). Michigan has allow just 12 points per game, 250 yards per game and 86 rushing yards per game as an elite defense.

Last game, the Wolverines held Penn State to just 10 first downs and less than 270 yards offense. The only team to have some success on offense against Michigan is Maryland, who gained 400 yards offense but was still 55 yards per game below their average as the third most productive offense in the Big Ten. Michigan State is among the bottom four teams in the Big Ten averaging 349 yards per game on offense and a bottom-3 defense allowing 422 YPG and 27 PPG.

The Spartans and their overrated and overpaid coach Mel Tucker have been a major disappointment this season. The blowout loss at home to Ohio State 49-20 on Oct. 8 was every bit as bad as the score as Sparty was outgained by nearly 600-200 yards and rushed for just 20 yards. The bounce back win over Wisconsin was deserved as they outplayed the Badgers but still had 9 penalties for 103 yards and gained 389 yards. The 27-13 loss to Maryland saw MSU's defense allow nearly 500 yards, and Sparty was run over at the point of attack for 240 yards and more than 500 total yards in a blowout loss to Minnesota, 34-7. The Spartans have rushed for just 61 YPG and 2.7 YPR in Big Ten play while the defense has allowed 201 YPG and 77% completions vs Big Ten teams this season.

Final Score Prediction: Michigan: 41 | Michigan State: 13

Michigan State vs Michigan Betting Trends

- Michigan State is 1-4 SU and ATS in their last 5 games.
- Michigan State is 12-2 ATS in the last 14 games vs Michigan.
- The total has gone in 5 of MSU's last 7 road games.
- Michigan is 7-0 SU this season and 12-0 in their last 12 home games.
- The total has gone Under in 6 of Michigan's last 8 games.

Michigan State vs Michigan Best Bet

All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.


Clearly the line is up significantly from early season projections, and the opener this past Sunday in Las Vegas was Michigan -21 and total 51.5. The Spartans have won the last two meetings including 27-24 as a 22-point underdog at the Big House in 2020. The rivalry 'Dog angle might be tempting, but we're not biting.

Michigan is much better while MSU is worse from then and now, and Michigan State is 0-4 this year when not forcing multiple takeaway. Michigan has only turned it over four times and haven’t given it up more than once against anyone. Coach Harbaugh and the Wolverines would love to stick it to their rival big after years of frustration including the most improbable win by Sparty in 2015. Bonus points add to Michigan's standing to keep them in front of Clemson in the AP Poll.

Bet: Michigan -22.5 (-110)

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